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Gabriel Lourenco vs Petersen Prediction

Saturday, Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1UDOG

Gabriel Lourenco to Win

51%WIN CHANCE

MATCHUP

Gabriel LourencoGabriel Lourenco
vs
PetersenPetersen

Predicted -

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS4:45 PM ET
BEST ODDSBEST+142DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Gabriel Lourenco to win: best odds

FIGHTbest price first - 5 books

  1. DraftKings+142+142
  2. BetOnline+142+142
  3. Betway+140+140
  4. BetUS+138+138
  5. Unibet+125+125

Fight at DraftKings: opened +142, now +142

Market (latest pregame line)

Total

2.5

Moneyline

Gabriel Lourenco
+138
Thomas Petersen
-165

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Gabriel Lourenco) at DraftKings: opened +142, now +142
  • Total at 1xBet: opened 2.5, now 2.5

Who will win Gabriel Lourenco vs Petersen?

Gabriel Lourenco. Agatha gives Gabriel Lourenco a 51% chance to win. It is Agatha's prediction for this fight, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Gabriel Lourenco

Agatha rates Thomas Petersen 1491; Gabriel Lourenco has no UFC record in her database and enters at the 1500.0 baseline every debut starts from. Net gap after those adjustments: 9 rating points toward Gabriel Lourenco, which converts to 51-49. Gabriel Lourenco is new to Agatha's data (no rating yet).

Gabriel Lourenco vs Petersen recent form

Gabriel Lourenco: last fight

  1. Sep 1Charlie ClevelandWKO/TKO, R1

Gabriel Lourenco vs Petersen tale of the tape

  • Gabriel Lourenco

    Pro record
    8-1-0W-L-D
    UFC record
    1-01 UFC fights
    UFC wins by
    1-0-0KO - SUB - DEC

  • Thomas Petersen

    Pro record
    11-5-0W-L-D
    UFC record
    3-47 UFC fights
    UFC wins by
    0-0-3KO - SUB - DEC