AGATHANo gut feelings

UFC

Marcus McGhee vs Bernardo Sopaj Prediction

Marcus McGhee vs Bernardo Sopaj

Agatha's call

Marcus McGhee to win61%

Price 1.70 at 1xBet

Why

Agatha rates Marcus McGhee 1639 and Bernardo Sopaj 1532, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.

Marcus McGhee is 36: the model takes 26 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.

Net gap after those adjustments: 81 rating points toward Marcus McGhee, which converts to 61-39.

The market agrees: 56% for Marcus McGhee across 1 book.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Marcus McGhee
1.67
Draw
33.00
Bernardo Sopaj
2.25

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (2 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.71, now 1.65
  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.67, now 1.67