Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm Prediction
Agatha's pick

Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm - 10:00 PM ETFinished with 0 threes57%WONEDGE2UWONSEALED ODDS2.40
Agatha's WNBA model prices Dominique Malonga Under 0.5 threes at 57%, 17 points past the 40% implied at FanDuel, on a prop her blind three-season trial validated. Her recent log: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 threes over her last five games (0.0 average); the under of 0.5 would have cashed in 5 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 57% under 0.5 vs market 40% (edge +16.8)
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV | 25 | 27 | 33 | 29 | 114 |
| SEA | 13 | 21 | 29 | 14 | 77 |
ESPN live win probability: SEA 0%
Play-by-play
- [4- 0.0] End of Game
- [4- 0.0] End of the 4th Quarter
- [4- 16.8] Taylor Thierry defensive rebound
- [4- 19.9] Kalani Brown misses free throw 2 of 2
- [4- 19.9] Kalani Brown makes free throw 1 of 2
- [4- 19.9] Stefanie Dolson shooting foul
- [4- 19.9] Kalani Brown offensive rebound
- [4- 23.0] Dana Evans misses 13-foot pullup jump shot
- [4- 36.9] Jewell Loyd defensive rebound
- [4- 40.1] Jaylyn Sherrod misses 13-foot pullup jump shot
- [4- 47.7] Jewell Loyd makes running layup
- [4- 52.0] Stefanie Dolson bad passturnover (Jewell Loyd steals)
Leaders
- Flau'jae Johnson (SEA): 25
- Natisha Hiedeman (SEA): 7
- Awa Fam (SEA): 9
- Jackie Young (LV): 35
- Chelsea Gray (LV): 6
- Chelsea Gray (LV): 9
Game-day injuries
- Zia Cooke (SEA) - Out
- Taina Mair (SEA) - Out
- Jade Melbourne (SEA) - Out
- Jordan Horston (SEA) - Out
- Katie Lou Samuelson (SEA) - Out
- NaLyssa Smith (LV) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (SEA)
+11
Total
177
Moneyline
- LV
- 1.20
- SEA
- 4.70
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (11 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 4.30, now 5.10
- Moneyline (home): opened 3.80, now 5.00