Washington Mystics vs Indiana Fever Prediction
Agatha's pick

73%LOSTEDGE2ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.47
Agatha's WNBA model makes the Indiana Fever 73% to win this game; the best price at Fanatics implies only about 65%. That 8-point gap is why this is a pick, from the model validated across 826 blind games before it reached the board. Form check: the Fever are 8-2 over their last ten, the Mystics 6-4.
Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever - 4:00 PM ETFinished with 5 assists54%LOSTEDGE1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.98
The books hung 2.5 assists on Shakira Austin; Agatha prices the under at 54% against roughly 47% implied at FanDuel, a 7-point disagreement on a market her blind trial validated. Her recent log: 3, 3, 1, 2, 0 assists over her last five games (1.8 average); the under of 2.5 would have cashed in 3 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 54% under 2.5 vs market 47% (edge +7.0)
Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever - 4:00 PM ETFinished with 4 assists53%LOSTEDGE1ULOSTSEALED ODDS2.23
Georgia Amoore's assists line sits at 3.5; Agatha reads the under at 53% while the market at DraftKings implies about 43%. The 10-point gap is the pick. Her recent log: 5, 5, 4, 3, 1 assists over her last five games (3.6 average); the under of 3.5 would have cashed in 2 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 53% under 3.5 vs market 43% (edge +10.2)
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Board refreshes every 2 minutesGame Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 34 | 17 | 26 | 16 | 93 |
| IND | 19 | 11 | 31 | 16 | 77 |
ESPN live win probability: IND 0%
Play-by-play
- [4- 0.0] End of Game
- [4- 0.0] End of the 4th Quarter
- [4- 14.8] Monique Billings defensive rebound
- [4- 18.9] Raven Johnson blocks Cotie McMahon 's 9-foot turnaround jump shot
- [4- 30.0] Mystics defensive team rebound
- [4- 31.1] Raven Johnson misses 27-foot three point jumper
- [4- 46.0] Lucy Olsen enters the game for Alicia Florez
- [4- 46.0] Rori Harmon enters the game for Lauren Betts
- [4- 46.0] Cotie McMahon personal take foul
- [4- 52.5] Raven Johnson defensive rebound
- [4- 57.1] Cassandre Prosper misses 25-foot three point jumper
- [4- 1:12] Monique Billings lost ball turnover (Lauren Betts steals)
Leaders
- Caitlin Clark (IND): 25
- Caitlin Clark (IND): 5
- Makayla Timpson (IND): 7
- Kiki Iriafen (WSH): 21
- Sonia Citron (WSH): 9
- Kiki Iriafen (WSH): 14
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (IND)
-6.5
Total
177.5
Moneyline
- WSH
- 2.95
- IND
- 1.43
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (8 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.41, now 1.41
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.40, now 1.40