Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky Prediction
Agatha's pick
57%WONEDGE1UWONSEALED ODDS1.87
Agatha's WNBA model makes the Washington Mystics 57% to win this game; the best price at DraftKings implies only about 52%. That 5-point gap is why this is a pick, from the model validated across 826 blind games before it reached the board. The Mystics come in 6-4 across their last ten; the Sky arrive 4-6.- Washington Mystics @ Chicago Sky - 8:00 PM ETFinished with 3 assists55%LOSTEDGE1ULOSTSEALED ODDS2.02The books hung 2.5 assists on Shakira Austin; Agatha prices the under at 55% against roughly 48% implied at DraftKings, a 7-point disagreement on a market her blind trial validated. Her recent log: 3, 1, 2, 0, 6 assists over her last five games (2.4 average); the under of 2.5 would have cashed in 3 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 55% under 2.5 vs market 48% (edge +7.4)
- 54%WONEDGE1UWONSEALED ODDS1.97Kiki Iriafen's assists line sits at 1.5; Agatha reads the under at 54% while the market at DraftKings implies about 47%. The 7-point gap is the pick. Her recent log: 1, 1, 1, 2, 1 assists over her last five games (1.2 average); the under of 1.5 would have cashed in 4 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 54% under 1.5 vs market 47% (edge +7.3)
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Board refreshes every 2 minutesGame Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 24 | 28 | 32 | 26 | 110 |
| CHI | 19 | 22 | 27 | 12 | 80 |
ESPN live win probability: CHI 0%
Play-by-play
- [4- 0.0] End of Game
- [4- 0.0] End of the 4th Quarter
- [4- 2.7] shot clock turnover
- [4- 26.7] Rachel Banham makes 3-foot two point shot (Jacy Sheldon assists)
- [4- 41.1] Angela Dugalic makes 2-foot layup (Rori Harmon assists)
- [4- 42.6] Mystics offensive team rebound
- [4- 44.6] Angela Dugalic misses 25-foot three point jumper
- [4- 57.5] Angela Dugalic defensive rebound
- [4- 59.8] Elizabeth Williams misses 12-foot jumper
- [4- 1:12] Darianna Littlepage-Buggs makes running layup (Rori Harmon assists)
- [4- 1:16] Angela Dugalic defensive rebound
- [4- 1:17] Aicha Coulibaly misses driving floating jump shot
Leaders
- Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): 14
- Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): 5
- Kamilla Cardoso (CHI): 7
- Shakira Austin (WSH): 20
- Georgia Amoore (WSH): 5
- Kiki Iriafen (WSH): 11
Game-day injuries
- Natasha Cloud (CHI) - Out
- Morgan Maly (CHI) - Out
- DiJonai Carrington (CHI) - Out
- Skylar Diggins (CHI) - Out
- Rickea Jackson (CHI) - Out
- Sonia Citron (WSH) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (CHI)
+1.5
Total
165.5
Moneyline
- WSH
- 1.81
- CHI
- 2.02
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (5 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.36, now 2.02
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.30, now 2.00