Los Angeles Sparks vs Dallas Wings Prediction
Agatha's pick
80%WONEDGE2UWONSEALED ODDS1.56
The books hung 1.5 threes on Awak Kuier; Agatha prices the under at 80% against roughly 61% implied at BetOnline, a 19-point disagreement on a market her blind trial validated. Her recent log: 0, 2, 1, 2, 0 threes over her last five games (1.0 average); the under of 1.5 would have cashed in 3 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 80% under 1.5 vs market 61% (edge +18.6)- Los Angeles Sparks @ Dallas Wings - 8:00 PM ETFinished with 12 assists60%LOSTEDGE1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.70Jessica Shepard's assists line sits at 5.5; Agatha reads the under at 60% while the market at BetOnline implies about 56%. The 4-point gap is the pick. Her recent log: 4, 6, 4, 1, 2 assists over her last five games (3.4 average); the under of 5.5 would have cashed in 4 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 60% under 5.5 vs market 56% (edge +3.7)
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 25 | 19 | 14 | 19 | 77 |
| DAL | 25 | 19 | 25 | 28 | 97 |
ESPN live win probability: DAL 100%
Play-by-play
- [4- 0.0] End of Game
- [4- 0.0] End of the 4th Quarter
- [4- 2.8] Tonie Morgan makes free throw 2 of 2
- [4- 2.8] Tonie Morgan makes free throw 1 of 2
- [4- 2.8] Kitija Laksa shooting foul
- [4- 7.5] Haley Jones lost ball turnover (Shyanne Sellers steals)
- [4- 17.6] Haley Jones offensive rebound
- [4- 20.5] Christyn Williams misses 15-foot pullup jump shot
- [4- 35.5] Shyanne Sellers makes 23-foot three point jumper (Tonie Morgan assists)
- [4- 58.0] Maddy Siegrist makes layup (Haley Jones assists)
- [4- 1:04] Tonie Morgan makes layup
- [4- 1:12] Shyanne Sellers defensive rebound
Leaders
- Paige Bueckers (DAL): 19
- Jessica Shepard (DAL): 12
- Jessica Shepard (DAL): 11
- Nneka Ogwumike (LA): 18
- Nneka Ogwumike (LA): 4
- Nneka Ogwumike (LA): 7
Game-day injuries
- Odyssey Sims (DAL) - Out
- Alanna Smith (DAL) - Out
- Azzi Fudd (DAL) - Out
- Costanza Verona (DAL) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (DAL)
-9.5
Total
178.5
Moneyline
- LA
- 3.85
- DAL
- 1.27
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (16 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.34, now 1.26
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.31, now 1.27