Seattle Storm vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction
Agatha's pick

Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries - 9:00 PM ETFinished with 1 assist67%WONEDGE1UWONSEALED ODDS1.60
Jade Melbourne's assists line sits at 5.5; Agatha reads the under at 67% while the market at FanDuel implies about 59%. The 8-point gap is the pick. Her recent log: 3, 7, 0, 6, 2 assists over her last five games (3.6 average); the under of 5.5 would have cashed in 3 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 67% under 5.5 vs market 59% (edge +8.1)
Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries - 9:00 PM ETFinished with 0 threes58%WONEDGE1UWONSEALED ODDS2.18
Kayla Thornton's threes line sits at 1.5; Agatha reads the under at 58% while the market at FanDuel implies about 44%. The 14-point gap is the pick. Her recent log: 3, 3, 1, 0, 0 threes over her last five games (1.4 average); the under of 1.5 would have cashed in 3 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 58% under 1.5 vs market 44% (edge +14.4)
Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries - 9:00 PM ETFinished with 2 assists52%WONEDGE1UWONSEALED ODDS2.32
Agatha's WNBA model prices Flau Jae Johnson Under 2.5 assists at 52%, 11 points past the 41% implied at FanDuel, on a prop her blind three-season trial validated. Her recent log: 1, 2, 2, 2, 6 assists over her last five games (2.6 average); the under of 2.5 would have cashed in 4 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 52% under 2.5 vs market 41% (edge +11.0)
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Board refreshes every 2 minutesGame Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 19 | 6 | 21 | 11 | 57 |
| GS | 21 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 70 |
ESPN live win probability: GS 100%
Play-by-play
- [4- 0.0] End of Game
- [4- 0.0] End of the 4th Quarter
- [4- 19.4] Veronica Burton defensive rebound
- [4- 22.6] Taina Mair misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
- [4- 33.8] Kaitlyn Chen makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot (Veronica Burton assists)
- [4- 54.0] Mackenzie Holmes makes 5-foot two point shot (Taylor Thierry assists)
- [4- 1:03] Stefanie Dolson enters the game for Awa Fam
- [4- 1:03] Mackenzie Holmes enters the game for Dominique Malonga
- [4- 1:03] Jaylyn Sherrod enters the game for Flau'jae Johnson
- [4- 1:03] Taina Mair enters the game for Natisha Hiedeman
- [4- 1:03] Storm Full timeout
- [4- 1:03] shot clock turnover
Leaders
- Kaila Charles (GS): 16
- Tiffany Hayes (GS): 6
- Kaila Charles (GS): 12
- Flau'jae Johnson (SEA): 17
- Natisha Hiedeman (SEA): 3
- Awa Fam (SEA): 9
Game-day injuries
- Cecilia Zandalasini (GS) - Out
- Janelle Salaun (GS) - Out
- Gabby Williams (GS) - Out
- Iliana Rupert (GS) - Out
- Zia Cooke (SEA) - Out
- Jordan Horston (SEA) - Out
- Katie Lou Samuelson (SEA) - Out
- Ezi Magbegor (SEA) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (GS)
-12.5
Total
156.5
Moneyline
- SEA
- 5.90
- GS
- 1.13
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (14 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.12, now 1.14
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.11, now 1.13