Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky Prediction
Agatha's pick
59%LOSTEDGE1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.83
On Kiki Rice's assists number the model and the market split: 59% on her side of 4.5, roughly 51% implied at BetOnline. She takes the 8-point difference. Her recent log: 5, 5, 5, 4, 5 assists over her last five games (4.8 average); the under of 4.5 would have cashed in 1 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 59% under 4.5 vs market 51% (edge +7.9)Sealed Pick #1150 @ Sep 22, 7:45 PM ETFingerprint6a118ff8531bd0f3c154873d1d3cefa10542eebba98d00ee3b66cc1cf9d1ff3aTransaction8f9de4f6bf7f3236b5a43551040938cedfc772cff10c6f482d41fcfaccd93a31Open key79186ec1bfd02abd31ec4fc341ab2f52b54c7600f9ca1269df34636dda6c9298- Toronto Tempo at Chicago Sky - 8:00 PM ETAgatha projects TOR 86, CHI 92Final: TOR 85 - CHI 9768%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.46
Agatha's WNBA model, validated across 826 blind games, prices the Chicago Sky 1 points above the market: 68% to the 67% implied at DraftKings. Form check: the Sky are 3-7 over their last ten, the Tempo 1-9.Sealed Pick #1149 @ Sep 22, 7:45 PM ETFingerprint937c26a61c1b1ea622b87ac02f82cb0bbfdb8b5147e567eab9500db5fd9135ceTransaction5de130de7904aea5d6a61da3363023d49d8327b4216a43e34080d56e799e0413Open key79186ec1bfd02abd31ec4fc341ab2f52b54c7600f9ca1269df34636dda6c9298
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 20 | 24 | 11 | 30 | 85 |
| CHI | 18 | 26 | 28 | 25 | 97 |
ESPN live win probability: CHI 100%
Play-by-play
- [4- 0.0] End of Game
- [4- 0.0] End of the 4th Quarter
- [4- 10.4] Teonni Key makes two point shot
- [4- 10.4] Teonni Key offensive rebound
- [4- 11.7] Isabelle Harrison misses driving layup
- [4- 25.3] Isabelle Harrison defensive rebound
- [4- 27.0] Jacy Sheldon misses driving layup
- [4- 41.9] Morgan Maly defensive rebound
- [4- 45.4] Zaay Green misses 23-foot three point jumper
- [4- 51.4] Zaay Green defensive rebound
- [4- 54.3] Rachel Banham misses 11-foot jumper
- [4- 57.3] Isabelle Harrison steps out of bounds turnover
Leaders
- Sydney Taylor (CHI): 18
- Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): 9
- Elizabeth Williams (CHI): 11
- Isabelle Harrison (TOR): 21
- Kiki Rice (TOR): 7
- Isabelle Harrison (TOR): 13
Game-day injuries
- Aicha Coulibaly (CHI) - Out
- DiJonai Carrington (CHI) - Out
- Natasha Cloud (CHI) - Out
- Azura Stevens (CHI) - Out
- Skylar Diggins (CHI) - Out
- Kamila Borkowska (TOR) - Out
- Maria Gakdeng (TOR) - Out
- Temi Fagbenle (TOR) - Out
- Marina Mabrey (TOR) - Out
- Aneesah Morrow (TOR) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (CHI)
-5.5
Total
180.5
Moneyline
- TOR
- 2.83
- CHI
- 1.47
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (18 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.46, now 1.49
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.43, now 1.44