Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
Agatha's pick
63%WONEDGE1UWONSEALED ODDS1.56
Sami Whitcomb's assists line sits at 3.5; Agatha reads the under at 63% while the market at DraftKings implies about 62%. The 1-point gap is the pick. Her recent log: 4, 4, 2, 0, 3 assists over her last five games (2.6 average); the under of 3.5 would have cashed in 3 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 63% under 3.5 vs market 62% (edge +0.6)Sealed Pick #1075 @ Sep 21, 9:45 PM ETFingerprint9ebbc09987ed9f6710183ca0661ee4a245d7e26e344dcd3826e6d31205358f06Transaction37c96d4071a5781d1c5c3927c2b35605287476cb61303e7c7ae050455fe04338Open keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857- 63%WONEDGE1UWONSEALED ODDS1.77
The books hung 1.5 threes on Noemie Brochant; Agatha prices the under at 63% against roughly 53% implied at Caesars, a 10-point disagreement on a market her blind trial validated. Her recent log: 1, 2, 1, 0, 1 threes over her last five games (1.0 average); the under of 1.5 would have cashed in 4 of them.WNBA prop engine: model 63% under 1.5 vs market 53% (edge +10.1)Sealed Pick #1076 @ Sep 21, 9:45 PM ETFingerprint746825409799a9a47e295d367704074b2bc836ccfcafdb5391602106d97c8069Transaction42cc2025bc216baa989e1f7987241a5ebee5c1a89be85af4380c6ddb23ae9a53Open keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857 - Dallas Wings at Phoenix Mercury - 10:00 PM ETAgatha projects DAL 89, PHX 84Final: DAL 86 - PHX 8765%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.47
This game tilts to the Dallas Wings on Agatha's numbers. The Wings come in 7-3 across their last ten; the Mercury arrive 3-7. Her projection lands DAL 89, PHX 84.Sealed Pick #1074 @ Sep 21, 9:45 PM ETFingerprintd23886b42db7c86746bdbf22a35c877c30ad8f4a30a6e0184f09a8562b728c3eTransaction342a5a2f1210db80280484a5adee3ea4c9477ef24e6d0d3a4c48a4aa7ebe410bOpen keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 26 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 86 |
| PHX | 19 | 24 | 18 | 26 | 87 |
ESPN live win probability: PHX 100%
Play-by-play
- [4- 0.0] End of Game
- [4- 0.0] End of the 4th Quarter
- [4- 0.7] Alyssa Thomas defensive rebound
- [4- 0.7] Paige Bueckers misses 23-foot three point jumper
- [4- 2.4] Wings Full timeout
- [4- 2.4] Kahleah Copper makes 4-foot layup (Alyssa Thomas assists)
- [4- 10.7] Arike Ogunbowale lost ball turnover (Kahleah Copper steals)
- [4- 13.3] Arike Ogunbowale vs. Kahleah Copper (Lexi Held gains possession)
- [4- 13.3] Lexi Held enters the game for Kara Dunn
- [4- 13.3] (00:13.3) [Mercury] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL OVERTURNED) [Mercury] retain their timeout
- [4- 13.3] Mercury Coach's Challenge
- [4- 15.7] Wings Reset Timeout
Leaders
- Kahleah Copper (PHX): 31
- Alyssa Thomas (PHX): 12
- Alyssa Thomas (PHX): 11
- Paige Bueckers (DAL): 30
- Paige Bueckers (DAL): 7
- Jessica Shepard (DAL): 19
Game-day injuries
- Kelsey Plum (PHX) - Out
- Jovana Nogic (PHX) - Out
- Alysha Clark (DAL) - Out
- Alanna Smith (DAL) - Out
- Azzi Fudd (DAL) - Out
- Costanza Verona (DAL) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (PHX)
+5.5
Total
175
Moneyline
- DAL
- 1.44
- PHX
- 2.85
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (11 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.90, now 2.80
- Moneyline (home): opened 3.00, now 2.80