AGATHANo gut feelings

Pegula vs Ostapenko Prediction

Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026, 2:00 AM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Pegula to Win

80%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

PegulaPegula
2-0
OstapenkoOstapenko

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS10:45 PM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-244UnibetBET

Where to bet it

Pegula to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 19 books

  1. Unibet-244-244
  2. LiveScore Bet-244-244
  3. BetRivers-245-245
  4. Casumo-245-245
  5. William Hill-250-250
  6. 888sport-250-250

Who will win Pegula vs Ostapenko?

Jessica Pegula. Agatha gives Pegula a 80% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Pegula

Agatha rates Jelena Ostapenko 1790 and Jessica Pegula 2061 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 272 rating points toward Jessica Pegula, for a predicted 80 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Jessica Pegula in 2-0.

Pegula vs Ostapenko recent form

Pegula: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Sep 10Aryna SabalenkaL5-7, 2-6
  2. Sep 8Emma NavarroW3-6, 6-4, 6-3
  3. Sep 6Sorana CirsteaW6-3, 6-4
  4. Sep 4Leylah FernandezW1-6, 6-4, 6-3
  5. Sep 2Sofia KeninW6-3, 6-1

Ostapenko: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 13Daria KasatkinaW6-1, 6-1
  2. Oct 5Elise MertensL2-6, 6-3, 3-6
  3. Oct 3Paula BadosaW7-6(5), 7-5
  4. Sep 24Taylah PrestonL4-6, 1-6
  5. Sep 22Anastasia ZakharovaW6-4, 6-1

Pegula vs Ostapenko head-to-head

Since Sep 16, 2015: Pegula 3, Ostapenko 2

  1. Mar 9, 2026Pegula 4-6, 6-3, 6-2BNP Paribas Open, Round 3
  2. Oct 4, 2023Ostapenko 6-4, 6-2China Open, Round 3
  3. Feb 15, 2023Pegula 6-2, 2-6, 7-5Qatar Total Energies Open, Round 2
  4. Mar 3, 2021Pegula 6-2, 7-5Qatar Total Open 2021, Round 2
  5. Sep 16, 2015Ostapenko 3-6, 6-2, 7-6(3)WTA Coupe Banque Nationale, Round 2

Pegula vs Ostapenko player stats

  • Jessica Pegula

    WTA ranking
    No. 46,225 pts
    2026 record
    50-132 titles
    Titles
    1125 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Jessica Pegula
-285
Jelena Ostapenko
+220