AGATHANo gut feelings

Swiatek vs Li Prediction

Friday, Oct 16, 2026, 7:00 AM ET, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Swiatek to Win

80%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

SwiatekSwiatek
2-0
LiLi

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS3:00 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-476DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Swiatek to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 1 book

  1. DraftKings-476-476

Who will win Swiatek vs Li?

Iga Swiatek. Agatha gives Swiatek an 80% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Swiatek

Swiatek has won two matches in a row at the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open. She beat Ashlyn Krueger 6-1, 6-4 in Round 3 of the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open on Oct 15, after beating Magdalena Frech 6-2, 6-1 in Round 2 of the Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open on Oct 13. Over their last ten matches, Swiatek went 8-2 and Li went 7-3. Agatha gives Swiatek about a 4-in-5 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Li beat Swiatek in their last meeting on Apr 25, 2026, on the main tour, and Swiatek did not finish.

Swiatek vs Li recent form

Swiatek: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 15Ashlyn KruegerW6-1, 6-4
  2. Oct 13Magdalena FrechW6-2, 6-1
  3. Oct 9Elise MertensL6-7(0), 3-6
  4. Oct 7Iva JovicW6-1, 6-3
  5. Oct 4Donna VekicW4-6, 7-6(0), 6-2

Li: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 15Janice TjenW6-1, 7-6(1)
  2. Oct 14Aryna SabalenkaW3-6, 6-4, 7-6(5)
  3. Oct 13Camila OsorioW6-1, 3-0 ret.
  4. Oct 7Elina SvitolinaL2-6, 3-6
  5. Oct 5Belinda BencicW6-4, 6-3

Swiatek vs Li head-to-head

Since Apr 25, 2026: Li 1, Swiatek 0

  1. Apr 25, 2026Li 7-6(4), 2-6, 3-0 ret.Mutua Madrid Open, Round 3

Swiatek vs Li player stats

  • Iga Swiatek

    WTA ranking
    No. 93,999 pts
    2026 record
    38-131 title
    Titles
    2631 finals
  • Ann Li

    WTA ranking
    No. 311,648 pts
    2026 record
    28-24
    Titles
    25 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Iga Swiatek
-455
Ann Li
+320