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MLB Heat Check

Team Heat Check: Tampa Bay Rays Run Hot, Oakland Athletics Run Cold (MLB)

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Ten games is not a season, but it is a mood, and moods decide a lot of games. The current mood around MLB: Tampa Bay Rays keep winning, Oakland Athletics keep losing, and everybody else lives somewhere in the weather between.

Who's hot

Tampa Bay Rays own the league's best recent ledger at 9-1, and the +23 runs margin underneath it says the record is earned. Per game the numbers read 6.6 for and 4.3 against, a gap that does not happen by accident across 10 games.

Right behind them sit Chicago Cubs, 8-2 over the same kind of stretch and +19 on runs margin, quieter, but pointed the same direction.

Detroit Tigers (7-3) round out the warm end of the ledger.

The whole league is averaging 4.4 runs a game in this stretch, which makes Tampa Bay Rays outrunning that number by 2.2 per night the loudest stat on the page.

The cold end

Then there is Oakland Athletics. A 1-9 stretch is ugly on its own; pair it with a -42 runs margin and it stops looking like bad luck. They are being outscored by about 4.2 runs a game, and no scheduling quirk explains that away.

They have company at the cold end: Seattle Mariners, 3-7 over the same window.

The middle of the table is where the real congestion lives: Houston Astros (5-5) and Philadelphia Phillies (5-5) are separated by almost nothing, and one good weekend reshuffles the whole neighborhood.

The board

For the fuller picture, the five best recent records in the league:

TeamLast 10Runs +/-
Tampa Bay Rays9-1+23
Chicago Cubs8-2+19
Detroit Tigers7-3+38
St. Louis Cardinals7-3+19
Atlanta Braves7-3+18

Worth remembering

As always, watch where record and runs margin tell different stories about the same club. The margin tends to know first.

The schedule cooperates, too, Tampa Bay Rays face Baltimore Orioles next, so this story gets its next chapter almost immediately.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

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