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MLB Heat Check

MLB Heat Check: Philadelphia Phillies Are Scorching (8-2 Last 10)

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Every MLB season has a week when the temperature map redraws itself, and this feels like one of them. Philadelphia Phillies have become the team nobody wants to see next on the schedule, while Athletics are hunting for anything that resembles a good night.

Who's hot

Philadelphia Phillies own the league's best recent ledger at 8-2, and the +16 runs margin underneath it says the record is earned. Per game the numbers read 5.3 for and 3.7 against, a gap that does not happen by accident across 10 games.

Right behind them sit St. Louis Cardinals, 7-3 over the same kind of stretch and +19 on runs margin, quieter, but pointed the same direction.

Keep San Diego Padres in the conversation too, at 7-3 over their last 10.

Some context helps: across every club in the sample, scoring sits at 4.4 runs per game right now. Philadelphia Phillies are beating the league's own pace by 0.9 a game.

The cold end

Athletics are the cold front. They have gone 2-8 over their last 10, and the -23 margin underneath means the losses have not even been close, roughly 2.3 runs a game the wrong way.

San Francisco Giants (3-7) share the cold row, for whatever comfort that provides.

Do not ignore the middle class, either: Pittsburgh Pirates (5-5) and Tampa Bay Rays (5-5) sit close enough that a single hot or cold series flips their order.

At a glance

Here is the warm half of the form table, last ten games for every club:

TeamLast 10Runs +/-
Philadelphia Phillies8-2+16
St. Louis Cardinals7-3+19
San Diego Padres7-3+18
New York Mets7-3+11
Toronto Blue Jays7-3+10

The fine print

One reading tip before you go: runs margin travels better than record. A fat margin with a modest record usually means the wins are coming; the reverse usually means they are not.

One to circle: Philadelphia Phillies meet St. Louis Cardinals in their next game, and we will find out quickly whether this stretch travels.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

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