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MLB Heat Check

Team Heat Check: Kansas City Royals Run Hot, Colorado Rockies Run Cold (MLB)

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Ten games is not a season, but it is a mood, and moods decide a lot of games. The current mood around MLB: Kansas City Royals keep winning, Colorado Rockies keep losing, and everybody else lives somewhere in the weather between.

The warm end of the table

Start with Kansas City Royals. They have won 9 of their last 10, and they have not been sneaking past anyone: the runs margin over that stretch is +24, which breaks down to about 5.5 scored and 3.1 allowed per game. That is the arithmetic of a team winning on merit, not on bounces.

Right behind them sit Cleveland Guardians, 8-2 over the same kind of stretch and +23 on runs margin, quieter, but pointed the same direction.

Philadelphia Phillies (8-2) round out the warm end of the ledger.

The whole league is averaging 4.3 runs a game in this stretch, which makes Kansas City Royals outrunning that number by 1.2 per night the loudest stat on the page.

The cold end

At the bottom of the temperature map sit Colorado Rockies: 2-8 in their last 10, -25 on runs margin. That is about 2.5 a game in the wrong direction, and no lineup shuffle fixes it overnight.

They have company at the cold end: Detroit Tigers, 2-8 over the same window.

Do not ignore the middle class, either: Texas Rangers (5-5) and Atlanta Braves (5-5) sit close enough that a single hot or cold series flips their order.

The board

The top of the ledger, at a glance:

TeamLast 10Runs +/-
Kansas City Royals9-1+24
Cleveland Guardians8-2+23
Philadelphia Phillies8-2+16
Milwaukee Brewers7-3+38
New York Yankees7-3+17

The fine print

One reading tip before you go: runs margin travels better than record. A fat margin with a modest record usually means the wins are coming; the reverse usually means they are not.

One to circle: Kansas City Royals meet Toronto Blue Jays in their next game, and we will find out quickly whether this stretch travels.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

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