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MLB Heat Check

Team Heat Check: Kansas City Royals Run Hot, Colorado Rockies Run Cold (MLB)

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Every MLB season has a week when the temperature map redraws itself, and this feels like one of them. Kansas City Royals have become the team nobody wants to see next on the schedule, while Colorado Rockies are hunting for anything that resembles a good night.

Who's hot

Kansas City Royals own the league's best recent ledger at 9-1, and the +32 runs margin underneath it says the record is earned. Per game the numbers read 6.5 for and 3.3 against, a gap that does not happen by accident across 10 games.

The chase belongs to Cleveland Guardians, who have gone 8-2 with a +23 margin of their own.

Philadelphia Phillies (8-2) round out the warm end of the ledger.

For scale, the league as a whole is averaging 4.3 runs a game over this window, Kansas City Royals are clearing that bar by 2.2 a night all on their own.

The cold end

Then there is Colorado Rockies. A 2-8 stretch is ugly on its own; pair it with a -25 runs margin and it stops looking like bad luck. They are being outscored by about 2.5 runs a game, and no scheduling quirk explains that away.

They have company at the cold end: Detroit Tigers, 2-8 over the same window.

In between the extremes it gets crowded, Tampa Bay Rays at 5-5 and New York Mets at 5-5 are basically sharing a seat, and the next series either way will split them.

At a glance

Here is the warm half of the form table, last ten games for every club:

TeamLast 10Runs +/-
Kansas City Royals9-1+32
Cleveland Guardians8-2+23
Philadelphia Phillies8-2+16
Milwaukee Brewers7-3+41
New York Yankees7-3+16

Worth remembering

Records fib a little and runs margins fib less. When the two columns disagree about a team, trust the margin, it is the slower liar.

One to circle: Kansas City Royals meet Cleveland Guardians in their next game, and we will find out quickly whether this stretch travels.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

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