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MLB Heat Check

MLB Heat Check, Kansas City Royals 9-1 in Their Last 10

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Ten games is not a season, but it is a mood, and moods decide a lot of games. The current mood around MLB: Kansas City Royals keep winning, Colorado Rockies keep losing, and everybody else lives somewhere in the weather between.

Who's hot

Kansas City Royals own the league's best recent ledger at 9-1, and the +31 runs margin underneath it says the record is earned. Per game the numbers read 5.9 for and 2.8 against, a gap that does not happen by accident across 10 games.

The chase belongs to Cleveland Guardians, who have gone 8-2 with a +25 margin of their own.

And do not sleep on Philadelphia Phillies, quietly 8-2 across their last 10.

For scale, the league as a whole is averaging 4.3 runs a game over this window, Kansas City Royals are clearing that bar by 1.6 a night all on their own.

Who's cold

Then there is Colorado Rockies. A 2-8 stretch is ugly on its own; pair it with a -21 runs margin and it stops looking like bad luck. They are being outscored by about 2.1 runs a game, and no scheduling quirk explains that away.

Detroit Tigers are not far behind on the misery index at 2-8.

The middle of the table is where the real congestion lives: Texas Rangers (5-5) and Houston Astros (5-5) are separated by almost nothing, and one good weekend reshuffles the whole neighborhood.

The board

Here is the warm half of the form table, last ten games for every club:

TeamLast 10Runs +/-
Kansas City Royals9-1+31
Cleveland Guardians8-2+25
Philadelphia Phillies8-2+16
Milwaukee Brewers7-3+42
Boston Red Sox7-3+15

One more thing

Records fib a little and runs margins fib less. When the two columns disagree about a team, trust the margin, it is the slower liar.

The schedule cooperates, too, Kansas City Royals face Cleveland Guardians next, so this story gets its next chapter almost immediately.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

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