AGATHANo gut feelings

Gaston vs Fearnley Prediction

Monday, Oct 19, 2026, Time TBA, Round 1

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Fearnley to Win

55%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

GastonGaston
0-2
FearnleyFearnley

Predicted 0-2

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS-
BEST ODDSBEST-263DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Fearnley to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 2 books

  1. DraftKings-263-263
  2. bet365-278-278

Match at bet365: opened -278, now -278

Who will win Gaston vs Fearnley?

Jacob Fearnley. Agatha gives Fearnley a 55% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Fearnley

Agatha rates Jacob Fearnley 1638 and Hugo Gaston 1589 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 49 rating points toward Jacob Fearnley, for a predicted 55 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Jacob Fearnley in 2-0.

Gaston vs Fearnley recent form

Gaston: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 5Liam DraxlL5-7, 4-6
  2. Sep 27Andrey RublevL7-6(6), 6-7(4), 1-6
  3. Sep 25Jaime FariaW4-6, 7-6(5), 6-4
  4. Sep 24Sho ShimabukuroW6-4, 6-4
  5. Aug 30Daniil MedvedevL4-6, 2-6, 4-6

Fearnley: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Sep 2Tomas Martin EtcheverryL3-6, 3-6, 6-3, 3-6
  2. Aug 31Martin LandaluceW4-6, 6-2, 4-6, 7-5, 6-3
  3. Aug 28Jurij RodionovL6-4, 4-6, 4-6
  4. Aug 26Luka PavlovicW6-4, 6-7(4), 6-4
  5. Aug 24Roberto Carballes BaenaW7-6(3), 6-3

Gaston vs Fearnley player stats

  • Hugo Gaston

    ATP ranking
    No. 89677 pts
    2026 record
    6-10
    Titles
    03 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Hugo Gaston
+190
Jacob Fearnley
-278

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Jacob Fearnley) at bet365: opened -278, now -278