AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennis

Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone

Round 1

Agatha's call

Alex de Minaur to win76%

Price 1.18 at Fanatics

Projected sets: 2-0 (about 61% of that player's winning outcomes)

Why

Agatha rates Alex de Minaur 1883 and Mariano Navone 1665 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.

Net gap: 218 rating points toward Alex de Minaur, which projects to a 76 percent match win.

Most-likely scoreline: Alex de Minaur in 2-0, about 61 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Alex de Minaur
1.17
Mariano Navone
4.80

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.18, now 1.19
  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.16, now 1.16