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Rune vs Fritz Prediction

Thursday, Nov 12, 2026, 12:30 PM ET, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

Holger RuneHolgerRune

PREDICTED SETS

0-2

AGATHA'S PICKTaylor FritzTaylorFritz
60%WIN CHANCEFritz to WinSEALS AT 11:30 AM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Fritz to WinTHE VERDICT
Rune

Tale of the tape

Fritz

Rune vs Fritz recent form

WHY

Rune 3-2 Rune: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 11 Nov 11 Miomir Kecmanovic, 2-6, 6-1, 6-4
  2. WNov 10 Nov 10 Zizou Bergs, 6-3, 6-4
  3. LNov 3 Nov 3 Tommy Paul, 5-7, 4-6
  4. LOct 30 Oct 30 Valentin Vacherot, 3-6, 6-3, 3-6
  5. WOct 28 Oct 28 Hubert Hurkacz, 3-6, 6-3, 7-6(7)

Fritz 4-1 Fritz: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 11 Nov 11 Cameron Norrie, 7-5, 6-3
  2. LNov 6 Nov 6 Carlos Alcaraz, 7-6(10), 5-7, 3-6
  3. WNov 5 Nov 5 Arthur Fils, 6-3, 6-4
  4. WNov 4 Nov 4 Alex Molcan, 6-7(6), 7-5, 7-6(5)
  5. WNov 3 Nov 3 Benjamin Bonzi, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4

Rune vs Fritz player stats

WHY
Holger RuneTaylor Fritz
0 Grand Slam titlesNo. 10 ATP ranking (3,285 pts)
2026 recordRune 4-4Fritz 43-181 title
TitlesRune 511 finalsFritz 1124 finals

Rune vs Fritz head-to-head

WHY

Since Mar 28, 2023: Fritz 2, Rune 1

  1. Oct 9, 2024Fritz 6-1, 6-2Rolex Shanghai Masters, Round 4
  2. Mar 13, 2024Rune 2-6, 7-6(2), 6-3BNP Paribas Open, Round 4
  3. Mar 28, 2023Fritz 6-3, 6-4Miami Open, Round 4

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Holger Rune
+175
Taylor Fritz
-250

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Taylor Fritz) at bet365: opened -250, now -250

Who will win Rune vs Fritz?

Taylor Fritz. Agatha gives Fritz a 60% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Fritz

Taylor Fritz won their latest meeting on the main tour, 6-1, 6-2 over Holger Rune in Round 4 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 9, 2024. Fritz beat Cameron Norrie 7-5, 6-3 in Round 2 of the Bybit Stockholm Open on Nov 11. Over their last ten matches Fritz went 7-3 and Rune went 5-5. Agatha gives Fritz about a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is that Rune has won two matches in a row, both at the Bybit Stockholm Open.