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Humbert vs Musetti Prediction

Thursday, Nov 12, 2026, 2:00 PM ET, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

Ugo HumbertUgoHumbert

PREDICTED SETS

0-2

AGATHA'S PICKLorenzo MusettiLorenzoMusetti
62%WIN CHANCEMusetti to WinSEALS AT 1:00 PM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Musetti to WinTHE VERDICT
Humbert

Tale of the tape

Musetti

Humbert vs Musetti recent form

WHY

Humbert 3-2 Humbert: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 11 Nov 11 Borna Gojo, 6-2, 6-4
  2. WNov 9 Nov 9 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, 6-4, 6-3
  3. LNov 4 Nov 4 Matteo Berrettini, 6-7(3), 5-7
  4. WNov 2 Nov 2 Botic Van De Zandschulp, 7-6(5), 6-7(9), 6-3
  5. LOct 28 Oct 28 Novak Djokovic, 6-4, 3-6, 4-6

Musetti 3-2 Musetti: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 10 Nov 10 Toby Samuel, 6-1, 6-4
  2. LNov 5 Nov 5 Luca Van Assche, 5-7, 6-3, 4-6
  3. WNov 4 Nov 4 Alexander Zverev, 7-6(5), 6-2
  4. WNov 2 Nov 2 Hubert Hurkacz, 7-6(3), 7-6(10)
  5. LOct 29 Oct 29 Arthur Fery, 4-6, 7-5, 4-6

Humbert vs Musetti player stats

WHY
Ugo HumbertLorenzo Musetti
ATP rankinglower is betterHumbert No. 391,320 ptsMusetti No. 251,895 pts
2026 recordHumbert 29-26Musetti 29-141 title
TitlesHumbert 712 finalsMusetti 310 finals

Humbert vs Musetti line movement

MATCH Musetti to win at William Hill

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Ugo Humbert
+160
Lorenzo Musetti
-200

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Lorenzo Musetti) at bet365: opened -227, now -227

Who will win Humbert vs Musetti?

Lorenzo Musetti. Agatha gives Musetti a 62% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Musetti

Musetti is 23-10 on hard courts this year, and he beat Alexander Zverev 7-6, 6-2 in Round 2 of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 4. He also beat Toby Samuel 6-1, 6-4 in Round 2 of the Bybit Stockholm Open on Nov 10. Over their last ten matches Musetti went 8-2 and Ugo Humbert went 4-6. Agatha gives Musetti close to a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Humbert has won two matches in a row, both in the Bybit Stockholm Open.