AGATHANo gut feelings

Humbert vs Berrettini Prediction

Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

PREDICTIONFINAL#2649

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1UDOG

Berrettini to WinWON

50%WIN CHANCE

FINAL

HumbertHumbert
6(3)-7 5-7 Berrettini won
BerrettiniBerrettini

Predicted 0-2

Win chance at the seal 50%

SEALED ODDSSEALED+114DraftKings
CLOSING ODDSCLOSINGSame as sealedClosed

Final: Matteo Berrettini def. Ugo Humbert, 2-0 in sets

SEALED ODDS
+114DraftKings
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +1.14uat the sealed price
GRADED
2:27 PM ETreceipt #2649

The odds

Berrettini to win: prices at the start

MATCHAt the start. No betting after the start.

  1. DraftKings+114+114
  2. Pinnacle+113+114
  3. FanDuel+112+114
  4. Paddy Power+110+114
  5. Betfair+110+114
  6. Sky Bet+110+114

Match at DraftKings: opened -103, closed +114

Humbert vs Berrettini line movement

MATCH Berrettini to win at DraftKings

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Ugo Humbert
-134
Matteo Berrettini
+112

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (4 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Matteo Berrettini) at FanDuel: opened -102, now +112

Agatha's pick for Humbert vs Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini. Agatha gave Berrettini a 50% chance to win and predicted a 2-0 win in sets. It was Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini opened with a 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 win over Brandon Nakashima in Round 1 of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 3, and his form is the steadier of the two. Over their last ten matches Berrettini went 5-5 while Ugo Humbert went 3-7, and Humbert arrives off a 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 loss to Novak Djokovic in Round 1 of the Swiss Indoors Basel on Oct 28. Agatha has Berrettini winning, a coin flip, and predicts straight sets. The risk is their last meeting on the main tour, on Oct 16, 2025, when Humbert won 7-6, 6-3.

Humbert vs Berrettini recent form

Humbert: last 5 matches

Last 5: 1-4

  1. Nov 2Botic Van De ZandschulpW7-6(5), 6-7(9), 6-3
  2. Oct 28Novak DjokovicL6-4, 3-6, 4-6
  3. Oct 20Corentin MoutetL2-6, 7-6(5), 6-7(4)
  4. Oct 9Arthur GeaL4-6, 6-3, 1-6
  5. Oct 3Jiri LeheckaL7-5, 4-6, 4-6

Berrettini: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Nov 3Brandon NakashimaW6-4, 3-6, 7-6(8)
  2. Oct 30Alex de MinaurL6-7(4), 2-6
  3. Oct 29Flavio CobolliW5-2 ret.
  4. Oct 26Tomas Martin EtcheverryW6-3, 6-4
  5. Oct 20Kyrian JacquetL6-7(4), 5-7

Humbert vs Berrettini head-to-head

Since Sep 3, 2020: Berrettini 2, Humbert 1

  1. Oct 16, 2025Humbert 7-6(5), 6-3Bybit Stockholm Open, Round 2
  2. Aug 29, 2023Berrettini 6-4, 6-2, 6-2US Open, Round 1
  3. Sep 3, 2020Berrettini 6-4, 6-4, 7-6(6)US Open, Round 2

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  3. LIVETomas Machac vs Arthur FilsAgatha's call: Arthur Fils to win, 69%
  4. Thu, Nov 5, 5:00 AM ETQuentin Halys vs Tommy PaulAgatha's call: Tommy Paul to win, 69%