AgathaRecord
AGATHANo gut feelings
JOIN

Alcaraz vs Berrettini Prediction

Thursday, Nov 5, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Round 3

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Alcaraz to Win

89%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

AlcarazAlcaraz
2-0
BerrettiniBerrettini

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS12:00 PM ET
BEST ODDSBESTNo price yetBET

Who will win Alcaraz vs Berrettini?

Carlos Alcaraz. Agatha gives Alcaraz an 89% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz has won six matches in a row, the latest at the Rolex Paris Masters. He beat Alex de Minaur 6-1, 6-4 in the final of the Erste Bank Open on Nov 1, and Alex Michelsen 7-6, 6-3 in Round 2 of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 4. He is 9-1 over the last 10 matches and ranked No. 3. Agatha gives Alcaraz about a 7-in-8 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Matteo Berrettini has won two matches in a row, both at the Rolex Paris Masters, beating Ugo Humbert 7-6, 7-5.

Alcaraz vs Berrettini recent form

Alcaraz: last 5 matches

Last 5: 5-0

  1. Nov 4Alex MichelsenW7-6(4), 6-3
  2. Nov 1Alex de MinaurW6-1, 6-4
  3. Oct 31Daniil MedvedevW6-4, 7-6(2)
  4. Oct 30Tommy PaulW6-4, 7-6(2)
  5. Oct 29Nikoloz BasilashviliW6-1, 7-6(11)

Berrettini: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Nov 4Ugo HumbertW7-6(3), 7-5
  2. Nov 3Brandon NakashimaW6-4, 3-6, 7-6(8)
  3. Oct 30Alex de MinaurL6-7(4), 2-6
  4. Oct 29Flavio CobolliW5-2 ret.
  5. Oct 26Tomas Martin EtcheverryW6-3, 6-4

Alcaraz vs Berrettini head-to-head

Since Oct 29, 2021: Alcaraz 3, Berrettini 1

  1. Jul 10, 2023Alcaraz 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-3Wimbledon, Round 4
  2. Feb 19, 2022Alcaraz 6-2, 2-6, 6-2Rio Open, Quarterfinal
  3. Jan 20, 2022Berrettini 6-2, 7-6(3), 4-6, 2-6, 7-6(7)Australian Open, Round 3
  4. Oct 29, 2021Alcaraz 6-1, 6-7(2), 7-6(5)Erste Bank Open, Quarterfinal

Alcaraz vs Berrettini player stats

  • Carlos Alcaraz

    ATP ranking
    No. 36,100 pts
    2026 record
    38-54 titles
    Titles
    2836 finals