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Alcaraz vs Basilashvili Prediction

Thursday, Oct 29, 2026, 10:00 AM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Alcaraz to Win

92%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

AlcarazAlcaraz
2-0
BasilashviliBasilashvili

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS8:15 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-6621xBetBET

Where to bet it

Alcaraz to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 18 books

  1. 1xBet-662-662
  2. DraftKings-690-690
  3. Fanatics-700-700
  4. Bovada-700-700
  5. Betfair-714-714
  6. Betano-752-752

Match at 1xBet: opened -649, now -709

Alcaraz vs Basilashvili line movement

MATCH Alcaraz to win at FanDuel

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Carlos Alcaraz
-700
Nikoloz Basilashvili
+475

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (3 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Nikoloz Basilashvili) at FanDuel: opened +500, now +520

Who will win Alcaraz vs Basilashvili?

Carlos Alcaraz. Agatha gives Alcaraz a 92% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz is ranked No. 3 in the ATP rankings of 2026-10-22, Nikoloz Basilashvili No. 95. Alcaraz beat Karen Khachanov 6-4, 7-6 in Round 1 of the Erste Bank Open on Oct 27, and he is 28-4 on hard courts this year. Basilashvili lost to Daniil Medvedev 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 in the final of the Almaty Open on Oct 25. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Alcaraz about a 9-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Basilashvili is 8-2 over the last 10 matches and beat Jurij Rodionov in Round 1 on Oct 28.

Alcaraz vs Basilashvili recent form

Alcaraz: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 27Karen KhachanovW6-4, 7-6(5)
  2. Oct 12Zizou BergsL5-7, 6-7(4)
  3. Oct 10Juan Manuel CerundoloW6-3, 6-3
  4. Oct 6Jiri LeheckaW7-6(4), 6-4
  5. Oct 5Jaume MunarW5-7, 6-3, 6-1

Basilashvili: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 28Jurij RodionovW7-6(3), 6-1
  2. Oct 25Daniil MedvedevL7-6(6), 1-6, 3-6
  3. Oct 24Stefanos TsitsipasW6-4, 6-7(5), 6-3
  4. Oct 23Adrian MannarinoW6-3, 6-1
  5. Oct 21Facundo Diaz AcostaW6-2, 6-4

Alcaraz vs Basilashvili head-to-head

Since Jun 3, 2021: Alcaraz 2, Basilashvili 0

  1. May 3, 2022Alcaraz 6-3, 7-5Mutua Madrid Open, Round 2
  2. Jun 3, 2021Alcaraz 6-4, 6-2, 6-4French Open, Round 2

Alcaraz vs Basilashvili player stats

  • Carlos Alcaraz

    ATP ranking
    No. 35,610 pts
    2026 record
    33-53 titles
    Titles
    2735 finals