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Alcaraz vs Michelsen Prediction

Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Alcaraz to Win

84%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

AlcarazAlcaraz
2-0
MichelsenMichelsen

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS12:45 PM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-5431xBetBET

Where to bet it

Alcaraz to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 13 books

  1. 1xBet-543-543
  2. Fanatics-550-550
  3. Betsson-556-556
  4. Sky Bet-588-588
  5. Tipico-588-588
  6. DraftKings-589-589

Match at Fanatics: opened -600, now -600

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Carlos Alcaraz
-550
Alex Michelsen
+400

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Alex Michelsen) at FanDuel: opened +440, now +440

Who will win Alcaraz vs Michelsen?

Carlos Alcaraz. Agatha gives Alcaraz an 84% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Alcaraz

Alcaraz has won five matches in a row, all at the Erste Bank Open. In their last meeting, on Oct 1, 2026, Alcaraz won 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 in Round 1 of the Japan Open Tennis Championships on the main tour. Michelsen lost to Arthur Fils 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 in Round 2 of the Swiss Indoors Basel on Oct 29. Agatha gives Alcaraz about a 5-in-6 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Michelsen beat Jiri Lehecka 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 in Round 1 of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 3.

Alcaraz vs Michelsen recent form

Alcaraz: last 5 matches

Last 5: 5-0

  1. Nov 1Alex de MinaurW6-1, 6-4
  2. Oct 31Daniil MedvedevW6-4, 7-6(2)
  3. Oct 30Tommy PaulW6-4, 7-6(2)
  4. Oct 29Nikoloz BasilashviliW6-1, 7-6(11)
  5. Oct 27Karen KhachanovW6-4, 7-6(5)

Michelsen: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Nov 3Jiri LeheckaW6-7(5), 6-2, 6-4
  2. Oct 29Arthur FilsL6-4, 3-6, 6-7(5)
  3. Oct 27Botic Van De ZandschulpW5-7, 6-3, 6-3
  4. Oct 23Arthur FilsL4-6, 6-7(12)
  5. Oct 22David GoffinW6-3, 6-4

Alcaraz vs Michelsen head-to-head

Since Oct 1, 2026: Alcaraz 1, Michelsen 0

  1. Oct 1, 2026Alcaraz 7-6(1), 4-6, 6-1Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships, Round 1

Alcaraz vs Michelsen player stats

  • Carlos Alcaraz

    ATP ranking
    No. 36,100 pts
    2026 record
    37-54 titles
    Titles
    2836 finals

  • Alex Michelsen

    ATP ranking
    No. 351,435 pts
    2026 record
    31-22
    Titles
    03 finals