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Alcaraz vs Fritz Prediction

Friday, Nov 6, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Alcaraz to Win

76%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

AlcarazAlcaraz
2-0
FritzFritz

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS12:00 PM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-275Hard RockBET

Where to bet it

Alcaraz to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 28 books

  1. Hard Rock-275-275
  2. Unibet-286-286
  3. LiveScore Bet-286-286
  4. BetRivers-286-286
  5. Casumo-286-286
  6. William Hill-300-300

Match at Hard Rock: opened -275, now -275

Alcaraz vs Fritz line movement

MATCH Alcaraz to win at 1xBet

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Carlos Alcaraz
-310
Taylor Fritz
+250

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (2 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Taylor Fritz) at FanDuel: opened +265, now +275

Who will win Alcaraz vs Fritz?

Carlos Alcaraz. Agatha gives Alcaraz a 76% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz has won all three meetings with Taylor Fritz since Jul 11, 2025 on the main tour, the latest 6-7, 7-5, 6-3 in the group stage of the Nitto ATP Finals on Nov 11, 2025. Alcaraz beat Alex de Minaur 6-1, 6-4 in the final of the Erste Bank Open on Nov 1 and has won six matches in a row, the latest at the Rolex Paris Masters. Agatha gives Alcaraz about a 3-in-4 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Fritz has won three matches in a row at the Rolex Paris Masters, beating Arthur Fils 6-3, 6-4 on Nov 5.

Alcaraz vs Fritz recent form

Alcaraz: last 5 matches

Last 4: 4-0

  1. Nov 5Matteo BerrettiniWW/O
  2. Nov 4Alex MichelsenW7-6(4), 6-3
  3. Nov 1Alex de MinaurW6-1, 6-4
  4. Oct 31Daniil MedvedevW6-4, 7-6(2)
  5. Oct 30Tommy PaulW6-4, 7-6(2)

Fritz: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Nov 5Arthur FilsW6-3, 6-4
  2. Nov 4Alex MolcanW6-7(6), 7-5, 7-6(5)
  3. Nov 3Benjamin BonziW3-6, 6-3, 6-4
  4. Oct 31Valentin VacherotL6-7(5), 3-6
  5. Oct 30Arthur FilsW6-2, 2-0 ret.

Alcaraz vs Fritz head-to-head

Since Mar 30, 2023: Alcaraz 4, Fritz 0

  1. Nov 11, 2025Alcaraz 6-7(2), 7-5, 6-3Nitto ATP Finals, Group Stage
  2. Sep 30, 2025Alcaraz 6-4, 6-4Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships, Final
  3. Jul 11, 2025Alcaraz 6-4, 5-7, 6-3, 7-6(6)Wimbledon, Semifinal
  4. Mar 30, 2023Alcaraz 6-4, 6-2Miami Open, Quarterfinal

Alcaraz vs Fritz player stats

  • Carlos Alcaraz

    ATP ranking
    No. 36,100 pts
    2026 record
    38-54 titles
    Titles
    2836 finals

  • Taylor Fritz

    ATP ranking
    No. 123,095 pts
    2026 record
    42-171 title
    Titles
    1124 finals