Houston Astros vs Athletics Prediction
Agatha's pick

Houston Astros at Athletics - 9:40 PM ETAgatha projects HOU 5, ATH 1Final: Astros 7 - Athletics 569%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.60
This pick exists because of 8 points of daylight: Agatha reads the Houston Astros at 69% while the best price, at BetRivers, charges for only about 61%. The Astros come in 3-7 across their last ten; the Athletics arrive 3-7.Sealed Pick #1304 @ Sep 24, 9:25 PM ETFingerprint4d70cf36deac73fd90dee76ede547ab0210f1b047d48b04c66f82c41a0918b41Transaction913d5a467b9e37af37be742ca9d174322c0d470b3a7c6c32d279488b1721ca5aOpen key8bb78cf33a8e27c1f5339f96731d82f0c54474e6768ccc183463662d700e8909
57%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.93
Agatha prices Mason Barnett's over of 3.5 strikeouts at 57%; the market's number at DraftKings implies about 49%. That 8-point disagreement is the call. His recent work: 4, 2, 0, 7, 6 strikeouts over his last five starts (3.5 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 3 of them. The matchup helps: Athletics hitters strike out 8.4 times a game, ranking 15 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1305 @ Sep 24, 9:25 PM ETFingerprintcac879bbb8e4e9dd84aeb047a4712532780873021bc83cfc420527416813a697Transactionef841504cdcf4e150592bf2e01c0b227a7e5b6ddde8d46d87a4f1ea7c75cd552Open key8bb78cf33a8e27c1f5339f96731d82f0c54474e6768ccc183463662d700e8909
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| ATH | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
ESPN live win probability: ATH 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Langeliers grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Butler out at second.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
- [9] Bryan Abreu pitches to Shea Langeliers
- [9] Butler singled to center.
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Bryan Abreu pitches to Lawrence Butler
Game-day injuries
- Alika Williams (ATH) - Day-To-Day
- J.T. Ginn (ATH) - 60-Day-IL
- Max Muncy (ATH) - 10-Day-IL
- Brent Rooker (ATH) - 60-Day-IL
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) - 60-Day-IL
- Mike Burrows (HOU) - 60-Day-IL
- Steven Okert (HOU) - 15-Day-IL
- Daulton Varsho (HOU) - 10-Day-IL
- Brice Matthews (HOU) - 10-Day-IL
- Enyel De Los Santos (HOU) - 15-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (ATH)
+1.5
Total
11
Moneyline
- HOU
- 1.56
- ATH
- 2.48
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (8 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.35, now 2.50
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.43, now 2.55