Houston Astros vs Athletics Prediction
Agatha's pick
Houston Astros at Athletics - 9:40 PM ETAgatha projects HOU 5, ATH 2Final: Astros 13 - Athletics 263%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.62
Agatha makes the Houston Astros 63% to win this game; the best price at BetUS implies only about 60%. That 3-point gap is why this is a pick. Working against the Athletics: 7 losses in their last ten games, while the Astros sit 4-6.Sealed Pick #1505 @ Sep 26, 9:25 PM ETFingerprint6295eaedda6b0429c44e6ba731faf3fcd29fa8c53f09be1c59a2997737253893Transactiond43af458df915e7afb913cd0587516e909c148f1510709324416b61715f2dd2bOpen keyb129a1c4e68bd084cdd92e91ce05500f1d6ce89fb53336437bd14cc6d5995e5d
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
| ATH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
ESPN live win probability: ATH 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Cortes grounded out to shortstop.
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Ronel Blanco pitches to Carlos Cortes
- [9] Walton struck out swinging.
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 3 Swinging
Game-day injuries
- Alika Williams (ATH) - Day-To-Day
- J.T. Ginn (ATH) - 60-Day-IL
- Max Muncy (ATH) - 10-Day-IL
- Brent Rooker (ATH) - 60-Day-IL
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) - 60-Day-IL
- Mike Burrows (HOU) - 60-Day-IL
- Steven Okert (HOU) - 15-Day-IL
- Daulton Varsho (HOU) - 10-Day-IL
- Brice Matthews (HOU) - 10-Day-IL
- Enyel De Los Santos (HOU) - 15-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (ATH)
+1.5
Total
9.5
Moneyline
- HOU
- 1.59
- ATH
- 2.40
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (5 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.20, now 2.35
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.36, now 2.47
Trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Houston Astros
- The Astros are 37-37 as favorites this season, their role tonight (-10.0u flat at closing prices).
- The under has hit in 26 of the last 50 Astros games with a closing total (-0.3u flat).
- The Astros are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
- The Astros are 4-6 over their last 10 on the road.
Athletics
- The Athletics are 50-78 as underdogs this season, their role tonight (-12.9u flat at closing prices).
- The over has hit in 33 of the last 50 Athletics games with a closing total (+13.2u flat).
- The Athletics are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
- The Athletics are 6-4 over their last 10 at home.
Season series tied 6-6.
Priced trends settle against Agatha's own closing-line archive (tracked since May 2023) at flat 1u stakes.