Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Agatha's pick
Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds - 12:40 PM ETAgatha projects LAD 7, CIN 6Final: Dodgers 8 - Reds 263%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.66
Her model puts the Los Angeles Dodgers 3 points above what the market charges: 63% against about 60% at BetRivers. Form check: the Dodgers are 7-3 over their last ten, the Reds 3-7.Sealed Pick #709 @ Sep 17, 12:25 PM ETFingerprint2f6f926e8abbf3731b9fd69941b81f5315922e11220da006a877ca0ed021f632Transaction4321e0531250b43d350a8963b89f0a0f7e8960a6fa3ca8098441f933d6e41da2Open key068b75e49977c3f999db6736bacaab956eb51b976453f6bfd5d7abb841d71abc- Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds - 12:40 PM ETFinished with 3 Ks57%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS2.31
Justin Wrobleski Over 4.5 strikeouts: her model says 57%, the price at DraftKings implies 46%, and the 11-point gap does the talking. His recent work: 6, 6, 3, 4, 7 strikeouts over his last five starts (6.6 average); the over of 4.5 would have cashed in 3 of them. The matchup helps: Cincinnati Reds hitters strike out 9.8 times a game, ranking 1 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #710 @ Sep 17, 12:25 PM ETFingerprint11bb20b2af2218cbbfe81f5970ad1cbdfb12a6a46aa72e5ce28ee69597fc29aaTransactiondb9263ebc1217cb6d7b6005202027a6749471687848a5908ec955b9b7a418977Open key068b75e49977c3f999db6736bacaab956eb51b976453f6bfd5d7abb841d71abc
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
ESPN live win probability: CIN 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] McLain struck out swinging.
- [9] Pitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Seth Halvorsen pitches to Matt McLain
- [9] Brito grounded out to first, Stewart scored, Banfield to third.
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
Game-day injuries
- Spencer Steer (CIN) - 10-Day-IL
- Michael Toglia (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Blake Dunn (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Hunter Greene (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Edwin Diaz (LAD) - 15-Day-IL
- Gavin Stone (LAD) - 60-Day-IL
- Jake Cousins (LAD) - 60-Day-IL
- Dalton Rushing (LAD) - 10-Day-IL
- Andy Pages (LAD) - 10-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (CIN)
+1.5
Total
10
Moneyline
- LAD
- 1.63
- CIN
- 2.33
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (9 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.40, now 2.40
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.40, now 2.45