San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
Agatha's pick
San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants - 7:20 PM ETFinished with 5 Ks56%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.93
Agatha prices Nick Pivetta's over of 4.5 strikeouts at 56%; the market's number at DraftKings implies about 50%. That 6-point disagreement is the call. His recent work: 2, 4, 8, 8, 4 strikeouts over his last five starts (5.6 average); the over of 4.5 would have cashed in 2 of them. The matchup helps: San Francisco Giants hitters strike out 8.1 times a game, ranking 21 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #520 @ Sep 13, 7:05 PM ETFingerprint59ad52d87a4fbafde659e8e92d14615b12c9f1f62f8d55a0c8533051896a749eTransactionf2185aa7cccaf73165b57d62580d865ae662b396f73e46841553d65b2955a544Open key91bed9ccb5baec3884bd1e96228d8883dff4d2e7c1982d68fccc58fa913efcef
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| SF | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
ESPN live win probability: SF 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Cox struck out swinging.
- [9] Pitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 5 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Looking
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Swinging
Game-day injuries
- Victor Bericoto (SF) - 10-Day-IL
- JT Brubaker (SF) - 15-Day-IL
- Matt Gage (SF) - 60-Day-IL
- Willy Adames (SF) - 10-Day-IL
- Marcelo Mayer (SF) - 10-Day-IL
- Ty France (SD) - paternity
- Miguel Andujar (SD) - 10-Day-IL
- Jason Adam (SD) - 60-Day-IL
- Joe Musgrove (SD) - 60-Day-IL
- Lucas Giolito (SD) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (SF)
+1.5
Total
7.5
Moneyline
- SD
- 1.71
- SF
- 2.27
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (15 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.05, now 2.18
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.09, now 2.27