Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Agatha's pick
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays - 7:07 PM ETAgatha projects CIN 3, TOR 4Final: Reds 5 - Jays 658%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.68
This game tilts to the Toronto Blue Jays on Agatha's numbers. Form check: the Jays are 3-7 over their last ten, the Reds 4-6. Her numbers play it out 4-3 in favor of the Jays.Sealed Pick #1353 @ Sep 25, 6:52 PM ETFingerprint6555dcb2ec88b2e8ffceae3c5fe312c1702cc9f07bda2b1373ba15fe312cef61Transactione3df764b115de647ee361632af5d747530b46fdf553e4497a417ef47c9903588Open keybbb9cdc0306804e1e372854dff6674d319a0ae97aa8277d4a99a9f81c1e936fd- 60%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.61
The strikeout line on Nick Lodolo sits at 4.5. Agatha reads the under 2 points richer than the market: 60% against an implied 58% at DraftKings. His recent work: 1, 4, 6, 5, 5 strikeouts over his last five starts (3.8 average); the under of 4.5 would have cashed in 2 of them. The matchup helps: Toronto Blue Jays hitters strike out 7.0 times a game, ranking 29 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1354 @ Sep 25, 6:52 PM ETFingerprint6ab2c19cf5de3362d183d83c9260c85b6887e5939577f9bba44b6650d4bf630fTransactionf7ff9777407b6626f3070511f4b862ff6e9c49ee5e2eb6152b243bdb35395e62Open keybbb9cdc0306804e1e372854dff6674d319a0ae97aa8277d4a99a9f81c1e936fd
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| TOR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | 6 |
ESPN live win probability: TOR 100%
Play-by-play
- [9] Stewart struck out swinging.
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 3 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Foul
- [9] Louis Varland pitches to Sal Stewart
- [9] De La Cruz grounded out to second.
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
Game-day injuries
- Shane Bieber (TOR) - 15-Day-IL
- Rudy Martin Jr. (TOR) - 10-Day-IL
- Jonatan Clase (TOR) - 60-Day-IL
- Luis Urias (TOR) - 10-Day-IL
- Brett Bateman (TOR) - Day-To-Day
- Tony Santillan (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Spencer Steer (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Chase Burns (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Julian Garcia (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Michael Toglia (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (TOR)
-1.5
Total
7.5
Moneyline
- CIN
- 2.33
- TOR
- 1.64
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (10 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.71, now 1.63
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.73, now 1.64