Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Agatha's pick
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays - 3:07 PM ETAgatha projects CIN 2, TOR 6Final: Reds 5 - Jays 161%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.68
Agatha makes the Toronto Blue Jays 61% to win this game; the best price at Unibet implies only about 60%. That 1-point gap is why this is a pick. The Reds have dropped 6 of their last ten; the Jays stand 3-7.Sealed Pick #1427 @ Sep 26, 2:52 PM ETFingerprint1381a2f5e52be88756902c1ad719a4896ac9d2342b912ccf0ba7c9a3379147e2Transactionb4cd825beff412864d3dff8b23f19837a8844c81bb48dfe71929af4e6e7381beOpen keyb129a1c4e68bd084cdd92e91ce05500f1d6ce89fb53336437bd14cc6d5995e5d- Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays - 3:07 PM ETFinished with 3 Ks61%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.87
Trey Yesavage Over 3.5 strikeouts: her model says 61%, the price at Pinnacle implies 52%, and the 9-point gap does the talking. His recent work: 3, 0, 4, 9, 9 strikeouts over his last five starts (4.5 average); the over of 3.5 would have cashed in 3 of them. The matchup helps: Toronto Blue Jays hitters strike out 7.0 times a game, ranking 29 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #1428 @ Sep 26, 2:53 PM ETFingerprint68173c1baf4268aa557fff552f3313ffe9bdccfcd59e73140414fbb4d5cb30fcTransactiond88a299e7c1edf1df21c9fa1d42d9aec0df3c598477b6a252f3f8a18dd6a8db7Open keyb129a1c4e68bd084cdd92e91ce05500f1d6ce89fb53336437bd14cc6d5995e5d - Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays - 3:07 PM ETFinished with 2 Ks55%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.63
Rhett Lowder headlines this one: Under 3.5 strikeouts on Agatha's card. The log says 3, 4, 4, 2, 5 Ks across his last five starts, a 3.5 average, with this side landing in 2.Sealed Pick #1429 @ Sep 26, 2:53 PM ETFingerprint56936aa81c7d0e2b017c5190d9b0df49fce9bdf521369747dc338d9f80c54486Transaction80330a12b0e17a3c642907a6d7a97db6af3d2f9f3c670d43b0a125df80eb87eeOpen keyb129a1c4e68bd084cdd92e91ce05500f1d6ce89fb53336437bd14cc6d5995e5d
No picks match these filters
Every pick on today's board is hidden by your filter choices.
Every sport is switched off
Switch a sport back on in settings to see its picks here.
Nothing here for the sports you have switched on
Your sports have no picks on today's board. Switch more sports on in settings to see the rest.
Nothing has earned the board yet
Agatha lists a pick only when the numbers clear the bar. The board fills in as today's lines settle.
Board refreshes every 2 minutesGame Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
ESPN live win probability: TOR 0%
Play-by-play
- [9] End of the 9th inning
- [9] Smith lined out to left.
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Tejay Antone pitches to Josh Smith
- [9] Keys popped out to shortstop.
- [9] Pitch 3 : Ball In Play
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 1
- [9] Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Tejay Antone pitches to Sean Keys
Game-day injuries
- Shane Bieber (TOR) - 15-Day-IL
- Rudy Martin Jr. (TOR) - 10-Day-IL
- Jonatan Clase (TOR) - 60-Day-IL
- Luis Urias (TOR) - 10-Day-IL
- Cody Ponce (TOR) - 60-Day-IL
- Tony Santillan (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Spencer Steer (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
- Chase Burns (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Julian Garcia (CIN) - 15-Day-IL
- Michael Toglia (CIN) - 60-Day-IL
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (TOR)
-1.5
Total
8
Moneyline
- CIN
- 2.23
- TOR
- 1.62
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (11 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.63, now 1.61
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.68, now 1.62
Trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Cincinnati Reds
- The Reds are 51-70 as underdogs this season, their role tonight (-5.8u flat at closing prices).
- The over has hit in 26 of the last 50 Reds games with a closing total (-0.6u flat).
- The Reds are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
- The Reds are 4-6 over their last 10 on the road.
Toronto Blue Jays
- The Jays are 44-39 as favorites this season, their role tonight (-6.9u flat at closing prices).
- The over has hit in 27 of the last 50 Jays games with a closing total (+1.6u flat).
- The Jays are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
- The Jays are 6-4 over their last 10 at home.
Season series tied 1-1.
Priced trends settle against Agatha's own closing-line archive (tracked since May 2023) at flat 1u stakes.