Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Agatha's pick
55%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.79
Troy Melton Over 4.5 strikeouts: her model says 55%, the price at DraftKings implies 53%, and the 2-point gap does the talking. His recent work: 3, 3, 4, 4, 3 strikeouts over his last five starts (3.8 average); the over of 4.5 would have cashed in 0 of them. The matchup helps: Chicago White Sox hitters strike out 9.2 times a game, ranking 5 of 30 in strikeout-proneness over the last four months.Sealed Pick #986 @ Sep 20, 1:55 PM ETFingerprint29d8ffbe23506a0d8d6f1c112f6d49f61e2d00e01cae1e50507386ad215510cbTransaction92a0fe4583bb2c3a8c7caf0233c71a55ec665672be9f6218702debf7636ae37dOpen key1fef75d51285db0cfeaa36265630a8b8636d5282ee9ac77695aa4a5cc47967e2
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| CHW | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 8 |
ESPN live win probability: CHW 100%
Play-by-play
- [9] Torres struck out swinging.
- [9] Pitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
- [9] Pitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul
- [9] Pitch 4 : Ball 3
- [9] Pitch 3 : Strike 1 Looking
- [9] Pitch 2 : Ball 2
- [9] Pitch 1 : Ball 1
- [9] Luis Castillo pitches to Gleyber Torres
Game-day injuries
- Joey Bart (CHW) - 10-Day-IL
- Tanner Murray (CHW) - 60-Day-IL
- Tristan Peters (CHW) - Day-To-Day
- Prelander Berroa (CHW) - 60-Day-IL
- Ky Bush (CHW) - 60-Day-IL
- Burch Smith (DET) - 60-Day-IL
- Parker Meadows (DET) - 60-Day-IL
- Kerry Carpenter (DET) - 10-Day-IL
- Jack Flaherty (DET) - 15-Day-IL
- Troy Melton (DET) - Day-To-Day
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (CHW)
+1.5
Total
8
Moneyline
- DET
- 2.03
- CHW
- 1.88
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (6 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.83, now 1.67
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.86, now 1.88