Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Glass Bowl, Toledo, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYBuffalo2-3PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMEToledo4-1Win chance at the seal 89%
Final score: Buffalo 23, Toledo 8
- SEALED ODDS
- -1000Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- -1099Betway, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 6:53 PM ETreceipt #692
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| Toledo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
Leaders
- John Alan Richter (TOL): 22/35, 203 YDS
- Connor Walendzak (TOL): 10 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
- Terrell Crosby Jr. (TOL): 8 REC, 69 YDS
- Jason Wright (BUFF): 14/31, 171 YDS
- Messiah Burch (BUFF): 17 CAR, 137 YDS, 1 TD
- Dwayne Early Jr. (BUFF): 4 REC, 77 YDS
BuffaloTale of the tape
ToledoThis season
Buffalo vs Toledo recent form
WHYBuffalo 2-3 Buffalo: last 5 games
- L17-20 Oct 3 Western Michigan, 17-20
- W31-28 Sep 26 Robert Morris, 31-28
- L13-55 Sep 19 Penn State, 13-55
- L20-33 Sep 12 Florida International, 20-33
- W21-17 Sep 3 UAlbany, 21-17
Toledo 4-1 Toledo: last 5 games
- W39-24 Oct 3 Ball State, 39-24
- W41-16 Sep 26 San Diego State, 41-16
- W49-48 Sep 19 Temple, 49-48
- W63-10 Sep 12 Central Connecticut, 63-10
- L20-30 Sep 4 Michigan State, 20-30
Buffalo vs Toledo head-to-head
WHYSince Oct 31, 2023: Buffalo 1, Toledo 1
- Oct 12, 2024Buffalo 30-15
- Oct 31, 2023Toledo 31-13
Buffalo vs Toledo line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Toledo)
-18.5
Total
55
Moneyline
- Buffalo
- +750
- Toledo
- -1200
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (15 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Toledo) at FanDuel: opened -1300, now -1400
- Spread (Toledo) at FanDuel: opened -17.5, now -19.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 54.5, now 54.5
Buffalo vs Toledo betting trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Records against the line most North American sportsbooks closed at: win-loss against the spread, over-under on the total, a push third.
Agatha's pick for Buffalo vs Toledo
Toledo. Agatha gave Toledo an 89% chance to win at Glass Bowl, Toledo. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picked Toledo
Toledo scores 42.4 points a game to Buffalo's 20.4 this season, and the game is at the Glass Bowl, where Toledo is 3-0 at home. Toledo has won four games in a row and won 39-24 at Ball State on Oct 3. Agatha's prediction is a 36-18 Toledo win, about a 7-in-8 chance. The risk is Buffalo won the latest meeting, 30-15 at home on Oct 12, 2024.
TV: ESPN+