Florida State vs Louisville Prediction
Friday, Oct 9, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYFlorida State3-2PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMELouisville2-3Win chance at the seal 76%
Final score: Louisville 44, Florida State 20
- SEALED ODDS
- -180Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- -190Betway, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.56uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:43 PM ETreceipt #603
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 14 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 |
| Louisville | 0 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 44 |
Leaders
- Lincoln Kienholz (LOU): 11/15, 140 YDS
- Isaac Brown (LOU): 17 CAR, 235 YDS, 2 TD
- Lawayne McCoy (LOU): 3 REC, 78 YDS
- Ashton Daniels (FSU): 21/37, 209 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Ousmane Kromah (FSU): 19 CAR, 88 YDS
- Micahi Danzy (FSU): 4 REC, 50 YDS, 2 TD
Florida StateTale of the tape
LouisvilleThis season
Florida State vs Louisville recent form
Florida State 3-2 Florida State: last 5 games
- W38-7 Oct 3 Virginia, 38-7
- W34-7 Sep 26 Central Arkansas, 34-7
- L36-50 Sep 19 Alabama, 36-50
- L24-27 Sep 7 SMU, 24-27
- W34-17 Aug 29 New Mexico State, 34-17
Louisville 2-3 Louisville: last 5 games
- L28-31 Oct 3 NC State, 28-31
- L27-30 Sep 26 Wake Forest, 27-30
- W41-31 Sep 19 SMU, 41-31
- W59-13 Sep 11 Villanova, 59-13
- L38-41 Sep 6 Ole Miss, 38-41
Florida State vs Louisville head-to-head
Since Dec 2, 2023: Florida State 1, Louisville 0
- Dec 2, 2023Florida State 16-6
Florida State vs Louisville line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Louisville)
-4
Total
60.5
Moneyline
- Florida State
- +160
- Louisville
- -194
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (48 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Louisville) at FanDuel: opened -225, now -194
- Spread (Louisville) at FanDuel: opened -6.5, now -4.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 57.5, now 60.5
Florida State vs Louisville betting trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Records against the line most North American sportsbooks closed at: win-loss against the spread, over-under on the total, a push third.
Agatha's pick for Florida State vs Louisville
Louisville. Agatha gave Louisville a 76% chance to win at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 9.
TV: ESPN