AGATHANo gut feelings

Iowa State vs BYU Prediction

Friday, Oct 9, 2026, 10:30 PM ET, LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Iowa StateAWAYIowa State3-2

FINAL

1024

AGATHA'S PICKBYUHOMEBYU
84%WIN CHANCEBYU to WinWON#623 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 84%

Agatha's pick: BYU to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: BYU 24, Iowa State 10

SEALED ODDS
-449Pinnacle
CLOSING ODDS
-454Pinnacle, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.22uat the sealed price
GRADED
1:45 AM ETreceipt #623

Game Center

Team1234T
Iowa State030710
BYU777324

Leaders

  • Bear Bachmeier (BYU): 22/30, 329 YDS, 2 TD
  • Bear Bachmeier (BYU): 9 CAR, 109 YDS
  • Legend Glasker (BYU): 5 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jaylen Raynor (ISU): 16/29, 98 YDS, 1 TD
  • Aiden Flora (ISU): 17 CAR, 86 YDS
  • Ty Claiborne (ISU): 3 REC, 31 YDS
Iowa State

Tale of the tape

BYU

Iowa State vs BYU recent form

Iowa State 3-2 Iowa State: last 5 games

  1. W45-42 Oct 3 West Virginia, 45-42
  2. L17-31 Sep 26 Utah, 17-31
  3. W55-7 Sep 19 Bowling Green, 55-7
  4. L13-16 Sep 12 Iowa, 13-16
  5. W38-10 Sep 5 Southeast Missouri State, 38-10

BYU 5-0 BYU: last 5 games

  1. W17-10 Oct 3 TCU, 17-10
  2. W41-23 Sep 19 Colorado State, 41-23
  3. W28-17 Sep 12 Arizona, 28-17
  4. W63-7 Sep 5 Utah Tech, 63-7
  5. W25-21 Dec 27, 2025 Georgia Tech, 25-21
Points scored, last 5Iowa State 168BYU 174
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterIowa State 106BYU 78

Iowa State vs BYU head-to-head

Since Nov 11, 2023: Iowa State 1, BYU 1

  1. Oct 25, 2025BYU 41-27
  2. Nov 11, 2023Iowa State 45-13

Iowa State vs BYU line movement

MONEYLINE BYU to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (BYU)

-11

Total

46.5

Moneyline

Iowa State
+355
BYU
-500

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (44 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (BYU) at FanDuel: opened -465, now -520
  • Spread (BYU) at FanDuel: opened -11.5, now -11.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 48.5, now 46.5

Agatha's pick for Iowa State vs BYU

BYU. Agatha gave BYU an 84% chance to win at LaVell Edwards Stadium, Provo. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ETCincinnati vs Iowa StateAgatha's call: Iowa State to win, 55%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ETBaylor vs BYUAgatha's call: BYU to win, 75%
  3. Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ETFlorida State vs PittsburghAgatha's call: Pittsburgh to win, 72%
  4. Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ETIllinois vs UCLAAgatha's call: UCLA to win, 76%
  5. Fri, Nov 13, 10:15 PM ETHouston vs ColoradoAgatha's call: Houston to win, 90%