AGATHANo gut feelings

Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKMinnesotaAWAYMinnesota4-1

FINAL

1341

PurdueHOMEPurdue2-3
75%WIN CHANCEMinnesota to WinLOST#743 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 75%

Agatha's pick: Minnesota to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Purdue 41, Minnesota 13

SEALED ODDS
-137Coral
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:20 PM ETreceipt #743

Game Center

Team1234T
Minnesota0310013
Purdue101071441

Leaders

  • Ryan Browne (PUR): 14/24, 159 YDS, 1 TD
  • Fame Ijeboi (PUR): 31 CAR, 195 YDS, 3 TD
  • De'Nylon Morrissette (PUR): 2 REC, 51 YDS
  • Drake Lindsey (MINN): 22/39, 248 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Darius Taylor (MINN): 7 CAR, 15 YDS
  • Jalen Smith (MINN): 3 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD
Minnesota

Tale of the tape

Purdue

This season

Points per gameWHYMinnesota 32.0Purdue 30.4
Points against per gamefewer is betterMinnesota 18.0Purdue 35.0

Minnesota vs Purdue recent form

Minnesota 4-1 Minnesota: last 5 games

  1. W20-14 Oct 3 Michigan, 20-14
  2. W27-24 Sep 26 Washington, 27-24
  3. W41-7 Sep 19 Akron, 41-7
  4. L13-38 Sep 12 Mississippi State, 13-38
  5. W59-7 Sep 3 Eastern Illinois, 59-7

Purdue 2-3 Purdue: last 5 games

  1. W24-17 Oct 3 Illinois, 24-17
  2. L10-49 Sep 26 Notre Dame, 10-49
  3. L38-52 Sep 19 UCLA, 38-52
  4. L36-38 Sep 12 Wake Forest, 36-38
  5. W44-19 Sep 4 Indiana State, 44-19
Points scored, last 5Minnesota 160Purdue 152
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterMinnesota 90Purdue 175

Minnesota vs Purdue head-to-head

WHY

Since Nov 11, 2023: Minnesota 1, Purdue 1

  1. Oct 11, 2025Minnesota 27-20
  2. Nov 11, 2023Purdue 49-30

Minnesota vs Purdue line movement

MONEYLINE Minnesota to win at Coral

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Purdue)

+2.5

Total

49.5

Moneyline

Minnesota
-140
Purdue
+120

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (32 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Purdue) at FanDuel: opened +176, now +120
  • Spread (Purdue) at FanDuel: opened +5.5, now +2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 49.5, now 49.5

Agatha's pick for Minnesota vs Purdue

Minnesota. Agatha gave Minnesota a 75% chance to win at Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 10.

Why Agatha picked Minnesota

Minnesota won the latest meeting, 27-20 at home on Oct 11, 2025. Minnesota beat Michigan 20-14 at home on Oct 3. Minnesota scored more points per game than Purdue this season, 32.0 to 30.4. Minnesota is 4-1 this season. Purdue scores 30.4 points a game and allows 35.0 this season. Agatha has Minnesota winning 32-21, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk: Purdue won 24-17 at Illinois on Oct 3.

TV: BTN

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ETMinnesota vs Penn StateAgatha's call: Penn State to win, 76%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ETPurdue vs IowaAgatha's call: Iowa to win, 95%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%