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Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Prediction

Sunday, Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK), Norman, Week 12

Agatha Research Desk

AGATHA'S PICKOle MissAWAYOle Miss6-3

PREDICTED SCORE

2721

Ole Miss win by 6

OklahomaHOMEOklahoma5-4
58%WIN CHANCEOle Miss to WinSEALS AT 4:00 PM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Ole Miss to WinTHE VERDICT
Ole Miss

Tale of the tape

Oklahoma

This season

Points per gameWHYOle Miss 33.8Oklahoma 22.1
Points against per gamefewer is betterOle Miss 26.0Oklahoma 19.2

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma recent form

Ole Miss 3-2 Ole Miss: last 5 games

  1. L7-42 Nov 7 Georgia, 7-42
  2. W45-15 Oct 31 Auburn, 45-15
  3. L27-34 Oct 24 Texas, 27-34
  4. W31-3 Oct 17 Missouri, 31-3
  5. W52-17 Oct 10 Vanderbilt, 52-17

Oklahoma 3-2 Oklahoma: last 5 games

  1. W23-7 Nov 7 Florida, 23-7
  2. L25-42 Oct 31 South Carolina, 25-42
  3. W23-15 Oct 24 Mississippi State, 23-15
  4. L13-21 Oct 17 Kentucky, 13-21
  5. W27-24 Oct 10 Texas, 27-24
Points scored, last 5Ole Miss 162Oklahoma 111
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterOle Miss 111Oklahoma 109

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma head-to-head

WHY

Since Oct 26, 2024: Ole Miss 2, Oklahoma 0

  1. Oct 25, 2025Ole Miss 34-26
  2. Oct 26, 2024Ole Miss 26-14

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma line movement

MONEYLINE Ole Miss to win at BetUS

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Oklahoma)

-2.5

Total

49.5

Moneyline

Ole Miss
+122
Oklahoma
-143

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (24 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Oklahoma) at FanDuel: opened +122, now -132
  • Spread (Oklahoma) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 49.5, now 49.5

Who will win Ole Miss vs Oklahoma?

Ole Miss. Agatha gives Ole Miss a 58% chance to win and predicts a 27-21 final at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK), Norman. It is Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Ole Miss

Ole Miss has the head to head, winning the latest meeting 34-26 on the road on Oct 25, 2025. Ole Miss scores 33.8 points a game this season to Oklahoma's 22.1, and comes in 6-3 against 5-4, with a 45-15 win over Auburn at home on Oct 31. Agatha's prediction is a 27-21 Ole Miss win, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Oklahoma's defense, which allows fewer points a game than Ole Miss this season, 19.2 to 26.0.

Ole Miss scores the 30th most points a game of 136 FBS teams, and Oklahoma scores the 31st fewest. Three of Oklahoma's 5 wins came by 8 points or fewer, so Oklahoma's scoring sits low while its wins stay close.

Oklahoma allows the 23rd fewest points a game, tied with two other teams. Agatha's predicted 27 points for Ole Miss are 6.8 fewer than it averages this season. Ole Miss has been outscored by 4.0 points a game over its last 3 games, after outscoring opponents by 7.8 a game over its 9 games. Oklahoma won 23-7 at Florida on Nov 7, and Ole Miss lost 42-7 to Georgia at home on Nov 7.

TV: SEC Network