South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction
Thursday, Oct 8, 2026, 7:30 PM ET, Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYSouth Alabama3-2PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMEArkansas State2-3Win chance at the seal 59%
Final score: South Alabama 56, Arkansas State 49
- SEALED ODDS
- -150Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 11:08 PM ETreceipt #555
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama | 14 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 56 |
| Arkansas State | 7 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 49 |
Leaders
- Trey Owens (ARST): 32/43, 418 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
- Trey Owens (ARST): 11 CAR, 28 YDS, 1 TD
- Hunter Summers (ARST): 9 REC, 145 YDS, 2 TD
- Jared Hollins (USA): 6/10, 76 YDS, 1 TD
- Keenan Phillips (USA): 19 CAR, 157 YDS, 3 TD
- Brendan Jenkins (USA): 1 REC, 36 YDS
South AlabamaTale of the tape
Arkansas StateThis season
South Alabama vs Arkansas State recent form
South Alabama 3-2 South Alabama: last 5 games
- W52-35 Oct 3 UL Monroe, 52-35
- L21-45 Sep 26 Kentucky, 21-45
- W41-36 Sep 19 Ohio, 41-36
- L24-28 Sep 12 Tulane, 24-28
- W39-14 Sep 5 SE Louisiana, 39-14
Arkansas State 2-3 Arkansas State: last 5 games
- L20-23 Oct 3 Louisiana, 20-23
- W17-14 Sep 26 Kennesaw State, 17-14
- L7-31 Sep 19 TCU, 7-31
- W52-7 Sep 12 West Georgia, 52-7
- L24-42 Sep 5 Memphis, 24-42
South Alabama vs Arkansas State head-to-head
Since Nov 11, 2023: Arkansas State 2, South Alabama 1
- Oct 14, 2025Arkansas State 15-14
- Oct 5, 2024Arkansas State 18-16
- Nov 11, 2023South Alabama 21-14
South Alabama vs Arkansas State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Arkansas State)
-3
Total
60.5
Moneyline
- South Alabama
- +135
- Arkansas State
- -162
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (26 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Arkansas State) at FanDuel: opened -120, now -164
- Spread (Arkansas State) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -3.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 57.5, now 59.5
South Alabama vs Arkansas State betting trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Records against the line most North American sportsbooks closed at: win-loss against the spread, over-under on the total, a push third.
Agatha's pick for South Alabama vs Arkansas State
Arkansas State. Agatha gave Arkansas State a 59% chance to win at Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 8.
TV: ESPN2