AGATHANo gut feelings

Tulsa vs Navy Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

TulsaAWAYTulsa3-2

FINAL

2634

AGATHA'S PICKNavyHOMENavy
81%WIN CHANCENavy to WinWON#690 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 81%

Agatha's pick: Navy to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Navy 34, Tulsa 26

SEALED ODDS
-140Betway
CLOSING ODDS
-150Betway, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.71uat the sealed price
GRADED
6:43 PM ETreceipt #690

Game Center

Team1234T
Tulsa1466026
Navy7761434

Leaders

  • Jackson Gutierrez (NAVY): 5/7, 95 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Jackson Gutierrez (NAVY): 41 CAR, 232 YDS, 3 TD
  • Truman Brasfield (NAVY): 1 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
  • Baylor Hayes (TLSA): 20/35, 268 YDS, 1 TD
  • Javon Ross (TLSA): 2 CAR, 36 YDS
  • Javon Ross (TLSA): 7 REC, 90 YDS
Tulsa

Tale of the tape

Navy

Tulsa vs Navy recent form

WHY

Tulsa 3-2 Tulsa: last 5 games

  1. L44-45 Oct 1 North Texas, 44-45
  2. L6-34 Sep 26 Arkansas, 6-34
  3. W42-0 Sep 19 East Texas A&M, 42-0
  4. W23-17 Sep 12 Sam Houston, 23-17
  5. W24-10 Sep 5 Oklahoma State, 24-10

Navy 2-3 Navy: last 5 games

  1. L9-14 Oct 3 Air Force, 9-14
  2. L20-24 Sep 25 UAB, 20-24
  3. L30-38 Sep 12 Florida Atlantic, 30-38
  4. W42-15 Sep 5 Towson, 42-15
  5. W35-13 Jan 2 Cincinnati, 35-13
Points scored, last 5Tulsa 139Navy 136
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterTulsa 106Navy 104

Tulsa vs Navy head-to-head

WHY

Since Sep 13, 2025: Navy 1, Tulsa 0

  1. Sep 13, 2025Navy 42-23

Tulsa vs Navy line movement

MONEYLINE Navy to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Navy)

-3

Total

46.5

Moneyline

Tulsa
+130
Navy
-155

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (29 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Navy) at FanDuel: opened -192, now -144
  • Spread (Navy) at FanDuel: opened -4.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 53.5, now 46.5

Agatha's pick for Tulsa vs Navy

Navy. Agatha gave Navy an 81% chance to win at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 10.

Why Agatha picked Navy

Navy won their last meeting, 42-23 on the road on Sep 13, 2025. Tulsa has lost two games in a row. Tulsa lost 34-6 at Arkansas on Sep 26. Navy is 1-3 this season, 1-0 at home and 0-3 on the road. Agatha has Navy winning 34-18, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk: Navy has lost three games in a row.

TV: CBSSN

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ETFlorida Atlantic vs TulsaAgatha's call: Tulsa to win, 55%
  2. Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 PM ETMemphis vs Navy
  3. LIVEOhio vs Miami (OH)Agatha's call: Ohio to win, 73%
  4. Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ETBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  5. Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ETSacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%