USC vs Penn State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM ET, Beaver Stadium, University Park, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYUSC5-1PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMEPenn State3-2Win chance at the seal 51%
Final score: USC 31, Penn State 23
- SEALED ODDS
- -103Pinnacle
- CLOSING ODDS
- -106Pinnacle, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:58 PM ETreceipt #732
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| Penn State | 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
Leaders
- Rocco Becht (PSU): 21/32, 289 YDS, 1 TD
- Carson Hansen (PSU): 14 CAR, 28 YDS, 1 TD
- Chase Sowell (PSU): 4 REC, 95 YDS
- Jayden Maiava (USC): 21/33, 301 YDS, 3 TD
- King Miller (USC): 19 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
- Trent Mosley (USC): 9 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD
USCTale of the tape
Penn StateThis season
USC vs Penn State recent form
USC 4-1 USC: last 5 games
- W25-21 Oct 3 Washington, 25-21
- L27-41 Sep 26 Oregon, 27-41
- W42-35 Sep 19 Rutgers, 42-35
- W49-30 Sep 12 Louisiana, 49-30
- W39-0 Sep 4 Fresno State, 39-0
Penn State 3-2 Penn State: last 5 games
- L13-34 Oct 2 Northwestern, 13-34
- L20-24 Sep 26 Wisconsin, 20-24
- W55-13 Sep 19 Buffalo, 55-13
- W27-9 Sep 12 Temple, 27-9
- W45-0 Sep 5 Marshall, 45-0
USC vs Penn State head-to-head
WHYSince Oct 12, 2024: Penn State 1, USC 0
- Oct 12, 2024Penn State 33-30
USC vs Penn State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Penn State)
+1
Total
54.5
Moneyline
- USC
- -113
- Penn State
- -106
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (37 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Penn State) at FanDuel: opened +112, now -106
- Spread (Penn State) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now -1.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 55.5, now 54.5
USC vs Penn State betting trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Records against the line most North American sportsbooks closed at: win-loss against the spread, over-under on the total, a push third.
Agatha's pick for USC vs Penn State
Penn State. Agatha gave Penn State a 51% chance to win at Beaver Stadium, University Park. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picked Penn State
Penn State won their last meeting, 33-30 on the road on Oct 12, 2024. Penn State allowed fewer points per game than USC this season, 16.0 to 25.5. Penn State beat Temple 27-9 on Sep 12. Penn State is 3-2 this season. Agatha's prediction is a 29-26 Penn State win, about even. The risk: USC beat Washington 25-21 at home on Oct 3.
TV: NBC