AgathaRecord
AGATHANo gut feelings
JOIN

Bills vs Rams Prediction

Monday, Oct 12, 2026, 8:15 PM ET, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Buffalo BillsAWAYBuffaloBills

FINAL

3734

AGATHA'S PICKLos Angeles RamsHOMELos AngelesRams
52%WIN CHANCERams to WinLOST#894 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 52%

Agatha's pick: Rams to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Bills 37, Rams 34

SEALED ODDS
-172Ladbrokes
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:49 PM ETreceipt #894

Game Center

Team12345T
BUF67615037
LAR07720034

Play-by-play

  • [5- 2:45] J.Cook up the middle to LA 27 for no gain (T.Davis).
  • [5- 2:50] J.Allen left end ran ob at LA 27 for 13 yards (N.Landman).
  • [5- 3:35] (Shotgun) J.Allen scrambles up the middle to LA 40 for 19 yards (Q.Lake).
  • [5- 4:11] J.Cook up the middle to BUF 41 for 3 yards (N.Landman).

Leaders

  • Matthew Stafford (LAR): 40/54, 383 YDS, 3 TD
  • Kyren Williams (LAR): 16 CAR, 49 YDS, 1 TD
  • Puka Nacua (LAR): 17 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD
  • Josh Allen (BUF): 12/19, 210 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Josh Allen (BUF): 10 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
  • Khalil Shakir (BUF): 3 REC, 80 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Ty Simpson (LAR) - Out
  • Max Klare (LAR) - Out
  • Larrell Murchison (LAR) - Out
  • Bill Murray (LAR) - Out
  • CJ Daniels (LAR) - Out
  • Spencer Brown (BUF) - Questionable
  • Landon Jackson (BUF) - Out
  • Dee Alford (BUF) - Out
  • Joshua Palmer (BUF) - Out
  • Ar'maj Reed-Adams (BUF) - Out
BUF

Tale of the tape

LAR

Bills vs Rams recent form

BUF 3-2 Bills: last 5 games

  1. L26-29NE Oct 4 New England Patriots, 26-29
  2. W24-16LAC Sep 27 Los Angeles Chargers, 24-16
  3. W41-31DET Sep 17 Detroit Lions, 41-31
  4. W36-31HOU Sep 13 Houston Texans, 36-31
  5. L30-33DEN Jan 17 Denver Broncos, 30-33

LAR 2-3 Rams: last 5 games

  1. W24-20PHI Oct 4 Philadelphia Eagles, 24-20
  2. L26-30DEN Sep 27 Denver Broncos, 26-30
  3. W28-6NYG Sep 21 New York Giants, 28-6
  4. L7-27SF Sep 10 San Francisco 49ers, 7-27
  5. L27-31SEA Jan 25 Seattle Seahawks, 27-31
Points scored, last 5BUF 157LAR 112
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterBUF 140LAR 114

Bills vs Rams head-to-head

Since Dec 8, 2024: Rams 1, Bills 0

  1. Dec 8, 2024Rams 44-42

Bills vs Rams line movement

MONEYLINE Rams to win at Ladbrokes

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (LAR)

-3.5

Total

55

Moneyline

BUF
+150
LAR
-178

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (23 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (LAR) at FanDuel: opened -134, now -178
  • Spread (LAR) at FanDuel: opened -2.5, now -3.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 53.5, now 55.5

Agatha's pick for Bills vs Rams

The Rams. Agatha gave Los Angeles a 52% chance to win at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN, ABC

Best Bets on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Colby Parkinson Over 1.5 receptions
    Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams - 8:15 PM ET
    60%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-168DraftKings
  2. nflFINAL
    Keon Coleman Under 3.5 receptions
    Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams - 8:15 PM ET
    60%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-145BetOnline
  3. nflFINAL
    Ty Johnson Under 2.5 receptions
    Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams - 8:15 PM ET
    62%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-190BetMGM

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETBuffalo Bills vs New York JetsAgatha's call: Buffalo Bills to win, 84%
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ETLos Angeles Rams vs Arizona CardinalsAgatha's call: Los Angeles Rams to win, 72%
  3. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 61%