Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Prediction
Agatha's pick
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans - 1:00 PM ETFinished with 3 receptions62%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.52
Agatha's NFL model makes it about 2.4 catches for Xavier Hutchinson against a line of 1.5: the over is the call. His rate coming in is about 2.5 catches a game, weighted to his most recent work. That is asking it of the Bills, who allowed only about 17.5 catches a game against a league average of 19.8.Sealed Pick #461 @ Sep 13, 12:48 PM ETFingerprint8ca24b14ef30761f73803d67a91be8709ad4c4856868a7626c2805a2d3376119Transaction509f7c34e8da3f0f073437c2cf02fae05d805682dcf5d431aa9e4499520cfcefOpen key91bed9ccb5baec3884bd1e96228d8883dff4d2e7c1982d68fccc58fa913efcef
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 3 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 36 |
| HOU | 7 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 31 |
ESPN live win probability: HOU 0%
Play-by-play
- [4- 1:36] T.Bass kicks 62 yards from BUF 35 to HST 3. J.Noel to HST 29 for 26 yards (J.Solomon).
Leaders
- C.J. Stroud (HOU): 26/38, 274 YDS, 2 TD
- David Montgomery (HOU): 20 CAR, 60 YDS, 2 TD
- Nico Collins (HOU): 7 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
- Josh Allen (BUF): 20/29, 334 YDS, 2 TD
- James Cook III (BUF): 13 CAR, 57 YDS
- Dalton Kincaid (BUF): 5 REC, 130 YDS
Game-day injuries
- Jake Hummel (HOU) - Questionable
- Collin Wright (HOU) - Out
- Nate Thomas (HOU) - Out
- Febechi Nwaiwu (HOU) - Out
- Aiden Fisher (HOU) - Out
- Skyler Bell (BUF) - Out
- T.J. Sanders (BUF) - Out
- Ar'maj Reed-Adams (BUF) - Out
- Jalon Kilgore (BUF) - Out
- Jude Bowry (BUF) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (HOU)
+1
Total
44.5
Moneyline
- BUF
- 1.86
- HOU
- 1.98
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (10 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.00, now 1.98
- Moneyline (home): opened 2.01, now 1.95