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Cowboys vs Texans Prediction

Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Reliant Stadium, Houston, Week 4

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Dallas CowboysAWAYDallasCowboys

FINAL

3430

AGATHA'S PICKHouston TexansHOMEHoustonTexans
63%WIN CHANCETexans to WinLOST#263 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 63%

Agatha's pick: Texans to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Cowboys 34, Texans 30

SEALED ODDS
-145Bovada
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
4:15 PM ETreceipt #263

Game Center

Team1234T
DAL33141434
HOU1067730

Play-by-play

  • [4- 0:40] (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short middle to C.Lamb for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. B.Aubrey extra point is GOOD, Center-T.Sieg, Holder-B.Anger. ** Injury Update: HST-J.Crumedy has returned to the game.
  • [4- 0:47] (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass incomplete short right [W.Anderson].
  • [4- 0:52] (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass deep left to G.Pickens pushed ob at HST 12 for 22 yards (R.Blankenship).
  • [4- 0:52] Timeout #3 by HST at 00:52.
  • [4- 0:58] (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short left to C.Lamb to HST 34 for 8 yards (K.Lassiter).
  • [4- 0:58] Timeout #2 by HST at 00:58.
  • [4- 1:02] (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short right to J.Williams to HST 42 for 4 yards (J.Hansen) [W.Anderson].
  • [4- 1:02] Timeout #1 by HST at 01:02.
  • [4- 1:12] (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short right to C.Lamb to HST 46 for 15 yards (J.Pitre).
  • [4- 1:16] (No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Prescott pass incomplete short left [W.Anderson].
  • [4- 1:34] (No Huddle, Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short middle to J.Ferguson to DAL 39 for 7 yards (C.Bullock).
  • [4- 2:00] (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass short left to C.Lamb to DAL 32 for -3 yards (K.Ramsey).

Leaders

  • C.J. Stroud (HOU): 21/31, 347 YDS, 2 TD
  • David Montgomery (HOU): 10 CAR, 24 YDS
  • Nico Collins (HOU): 7 REC, 118 YDS, 2 TD
  • Dak Prescott (DAL): 32/45, 335 YDS, 1 TD
  • Javonte Williams (DAL): 19 CAR, 62 YDS, 3 TD
  • CeeDee Lamb (DAL): 17 REC, 189 YDS, 1 TD

Game-day injuries

  • Kenneth Murray Jr. (HOU) - Questionable
  • Jaden Crumedy (HOU) - Questionable
  • Jaylin Smith (HOU) - Questionable
  • Marlin Klein (HOU) - Out
  • Nate Thomas (HOU) - Out
  • Camden Brown (DAL) - Out
  • Emari Demercado (DAL) - Out
  • DeMarvion Overshown (DAL) - Out
  • Ajani Cornelius (DAL) - Out
  • Cobie Durant (DAL) - Out
DAL

Tale of the tape

HOU

Cowboys vs Texans recent form

DAL 2-3 Cowboys: last 5 games

  1. L31-34BAL Sep 27 Baltimore Ravens, 31-34
  2. W37-20WSH Sep 20 Washington Commanders, 37-20
  3. L20-28NYG Sep 13 New York Giants, 20-28
  4. L17-34NYG Jan 4 New York Giants, 17-34
  5. W30-23WSH Dec 25, 2025 Washington Commanders, 30-23

HOU 1-4 Texans: last 5 games

  1. L17-19IND Sep 27 Indianapolis Colts, 17-19
  2. L6-20CIN Sep 20 Cincinnati Bengals, 6-20
  3. L31-36BUF Sep 13 Buffalo Bills, 31-36
  4. L16-28NE Jan 18 New England Patriots, 16-28
  5. W30-6PIT Jan 12 Pittsburgh Steelers, 30-6
Points scored, last 5DAL 135HOU 100
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterDAL 139HOU 109

Cowboys vs Texans head-to-head

Since Nov 18, 2024: Texans 1, Cowboys 0

  1. Nov 18, 2024Texans 34-10

Cowboys vs Texans line movement

MONEYLINE Texans to win at Bovada

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (HOU)

-3

Total

48.5

Moneyline

DAL
+134
HOU
-154

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (18 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (HOU) at FanDuel: opened -146, now -156
  • Spread (HOU) at FanDuel: opened -2.5, now -3
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 47.5, now 48.5

Agatha's pick for Cowboys vs Texans

The Texans. Agatha gave Houston a 63% chance to win at Reliant Stadium, Houston. It was one of Agatha's Best NFL Bets for Oct 4.

TV: FOX

Best Bets on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Foster Moreau Under 1.5 receptions
    Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans - 1:00 PM ET
    63%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-206DraftKings

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ETSan Francisco 49ers vs Dallas CowboysAgatha's call: San Francisco 49ers to win, 64%
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETHouston Texans vs Cleveland BrownsAgatha's call: Houston Texans to win, 59%
  3. Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ETWashington Commanders vs New York GiantsAgatha's call: New York Giants to win, 63%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%