New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction
Agatha's pick
New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 0 receptions67%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.48
Agatha's NFL model makes it about 2.6 catches for Theo Johnson against a line of 0.5: the over is the call. He has been catching about 2.6 balls a game. The Rams give up about 22.3 catches a game against a league average of 20.5, which leans his way.Sealed Pick #1064 @ Sep 21, 8:00 PM ETFingerprint180af4194f1e70d67dbfed392d4c462dbc0ef594b3f29e8768c660a5a58a15b5Transaction071f006ecfc54636b7bd6e900d73051857b595e9aa0aaf43492aa7b731fcb6bbOpen keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857- New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 2 receptions61%LOSTLEAN1ULOSTSEALED ODDS1.51
Agatha's NFL model lands on Darnell Mooney Under 1.5 receptions, 61%. That means a quieter night than the 2.3 receptions a game he has been running. The counterweight: the Rams allow about 22.3 catches a game, over the league's 20.5.Sealed Pick #1065 @ Sep 21, 8:00 PM ETFingerprinta24b99c25448c31c8f19517730f666f50f037826e458eba1ec76e2b3e7c1a6f4Transaction695a43a4d136fce256e2219d85d6fc92021cbe98fc255c503a72aa50af0db65aOpen keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857 - New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 2 receptions61%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.59
Agatha's NFL model makes it about 2.7 catches for Colby Parkinson against a line of 3.5: the under is the call. His recent rate sits near 2.8 receptions a game.Sealed Pick #1066 @ Sep 21, 8:00 PM ETFingerprint2c7f9d8302cd895ab378721079a659439c376cb980b3cdbd0f93aa232086122bTransaction89c7360c30dca07da979840847c270a34fe3c6ac6100c02a2a651e69e4eac408Open keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857 - New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 0 receptions60%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.52Agatha's NFL model lands on Devin Singletary Under 1.5 receptions, 60%. That means a quieter night than the 2.3 receptions a game he has been running. The counterweight: the Rams allow about 22.3 catches a game, over the league's 20.5.Sealed Pick #1067 @ Sep 21, 8:00 PM ETFingerprint4fcee43daabb098ea40252ae026fd8d781824d6908ac450d39755c5f01e48637Transaction1b3af26353c67b3eebd51df7701a22dc74e6ec0d432c5128b0cafe5eea4ab302Open keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857
- New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams - 8:15 PM ETFinished with 1 receptions65%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.49
Blake Corum projects to about 1.7 catches in Agatha's model, against a line of 0.5: she takes the over. His recent rate sits near 1.5 receptions a game.Sealed Pick #1068 @ Sep 21, 8:01 PM ETFingerprint52d408bb71e212fdaa19ffb771ad119f586523b3a6408eff4939edf3ddb292c0Transaction084ca36cf1942dfffbcee43a31ab2759c6516a5d1bcfe815a5aa02fa99f3561dOpen keyb284c1be45f703b8c88dc29c67c6aab243a712ab52d687f17e67ad535ba4b857
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Board refreshes every 2 minutesGame Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYG | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| LAR | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
ESPN live win probability: LAR 100%
Play-by-play
- [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
- [4- 2:38] M.Stafford pass short left to D.Allen to NYG 20 for 7 yards (N.Jones).
- [4- 3:25] K.Williams up the middle to NYG 27 for 1 yard (A.Reese; T.Edmunds).
- [4- 4:11] K.Williams right tackle to NYG 28 for 6 yards (J.Holland).
- [4- 4:57] B.Corum up the middle to NYG 34 for 5 yards (S.Harris).
- [4- 5:42] B.Corum left tackle to NYG 39 for 8 yards (A.Reese).
- [4- 6:04] Official Timeout at 06:04.
- [4- 6:12] B.Corum right end pushed ob at NYG 47 for 18 yards (J.Holland). NYG-B.Burns was injured during the play.
Leaders
- Matthew Stafford (LAR): 22/31, 327 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
- Kyren Williams (LAR): 12 CAR, 85 YDS
- Davante Adams (LAR): 8 REC, 195 YDS, 2 TD
- Jameis Winston (NYG): 11/27, 111 YDS, 1 INT
- Cam Skattebo (NYG): 12 CAR, 36 YDS
- Darnell Mooney (NYG): 2 REC, 48 YDS
Game-day injuries
- Ronnie Rivers (LAR) - Out
- Ty Simpson (LAR) - Inactive
- Jordan Whittington (LAR) - Out
- Bill Murray (LAR) - Out
- Kamren Kinchens (LAR) - Out
- Brian Burns (NYG) - Questionable
- Andrew Thomas (NYG) - Questionable
- Jaxson Dart (NYG) - Out
- Micah McFadden (NYG) - Out
- Deonte Banks (NYG) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (LAR)
-7
Total
47.5
Moneyline
- NYG
- 3.55
- LAR
- 1.32
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (29 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.22, now 1.34
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.29, now 1.34