Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction
Agatha's pick
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings - 4:25 PM ETAgatha projects GB 21, MIN 24Final: GB 22 - MIN 3958%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.80
This pick exists because of 4 points of daylight: Agatha reads the Minnesota Vikings at 58% while the best price, at DraftKings, charges for only about 54%. Working against the Packers: 6 losses in their last ten games, while the Vikings sit 6-4.Sealed Pick #506 @ Sep 13, 4:10 PM ETFingerprintd565b43229ba50a29f939185ae5841eeef3c109e35ef305bdb38e40ee86b3187Transaction04d808710aed0d70b0f0fef7ecb9d459f66ce160b102b36a36b8450c7152cdbdOpen key91bed9ccb5baec3884bd1e96228d8883dff4d2e7c1982d68fccc58fa913efcef- Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings - 4:25 PM ETFinished with 2 receptions67%WONLEAN1UWONSEALED ODDS1.45
Josh Oliver projects to about 1.5 catches in Agatha's model, against a line of 0.5: she takes the over. Oliver came out of last season at about 1.5 catches a game.Sealed Pick #507 @ Sep 13, 4:10 PM ETFingerprint858a0e8a25270ffa5eb724e044b685e664928bc733606da43b5b20313505a321Transactionecb1a8a4d9dd4f40f890ea75e195b9ad140548df63e89a98873ef8ba207b87caOpen key91bed9ccb5baec3884bd1e96228d8883dff4d2e7c1982d68fccc58fa913efcef
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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB | 9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 22 |
| MIN | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 39 |
ESPN live win probability: MIN 100%
Play-by-play
- [4- 1:31] (Shotgun) J.Love pass incomplete short middle to S.Moore.
- [4- 1:35] (No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Love pass incomplete short middle to M.Golden.
- [4- 1:55] (Shotgun) J.Love pass short right to M.Golden to MIN 12 for 8 yards (J.Metellus).
- [4- 2:00] (Shotgun) J.Love pass incomplete deep left to M.Lloyd (J.Pierre) [D.Turner].
- [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
- [4- 2:13] (No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Love pass short middle to J.Smith to MIN 20 for 7 yards (H.Smith).
- [4- 2:35] (Shotgun) J.Love pass short middle to J.Reed to MIN 27 for 7 yards (J.Pierre).
- [4- 2:38] (No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Love pass incomplete short right to J.Reed.
- [4- 3:09] (Shotgun) J.Love pass deep right to M.Golden to MIN 34 for 20 yards (J.Pierre) [D.Turner].
- [4- 3:30] (No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Love sacked at GB 46 for -5 yards (A.Van Ginkel). The player down by contact was assisted by replay.
- [4- 3:52] (Shotgun) J.Love pass short middle to C.Watson to MIN 49 for 16 yards (J.Metellus).
- [4- 3:55] (Shotgun) J.Love pass incomplete short left to M.Golden.
Leaders
- Carson Wentz (MIN): 12/19, 133 YDS, 3 TD
- Jordan Mason (MIN): 15 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
- Justin Jefferson (MIN): 8 REC, 92 YDS, 2 TD
- Jordan Love (GB): 21/42, 387 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- MarShawn Lloyd (GB): 13 CAR, 37 YDS
- Christian Watson (GB): 6 REC, 147 YDS, 2 TD
Game-day injuries
- Kyler Murray (MIN) - Out
- Demond Claiborne (MIN) - Out
- J.J. McCarthy (MIN) - Out
- Elijah Williams (MIN) - Out
- Nick Samac (MIN) - Out
- Brandon Cisse (GB) - Questionable
- Josh Whyle (GB) - Questionable
- Ty'Ron Hopper (GB) - Out
- Aaron Banks (GB) - Out
- J. Michael Sturdivant (GB) - Out
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (MIN)
-2.5
Total
45.5
Moneyline
- GB
- 2.20
- MIN
- 1.69
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (23 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.83, now 1.71
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.82, now 1.69