AGATHANo gut feelings

Ravens vs Falcons Prediction

Sunday, Oct 11, 2026, 8:20 PM ET, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKBaltimore RavensAWAYBaltimoreRavens

FINAL

3023

Atlanta FalconsHOMEAtlantaFalcons
52%WIN CHANCERavens to WinWON#829 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 52%

Agatha's pick: Ravens to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Ravens 30, Falcons 23

SEALED ODDS
+156BetOnline
CLOSING ODDS
+153BetOnline, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +1.56uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:49 PM ETreceipt #829

Also on this game: Ravens +3.5, sealed at -110 (MyBookie), receipt #828: WON +0.91u.

Game Center

Team12345T
BAL3668730
ATL7736023

Play-by-play

  • [5- 3:19] D.Henry left end pushed ob at ATL 10 for 7 yards (D.Deablo).
  • [5- 3:26] T.Huntley pass short right to R.Bateman pushed ob at ATL 17 for 5 yards (S.Brown).
  • [5- 4:09] D.Henry left guard to ATL 22 for 1 yard (J.Ivey).
  • [5- 4:10] PENALTY on ATL-L.London, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at ATL 28 - No Play.
  • [5- 4:54] C.Vinson reported in as eligible. D.Henry right guard to ATL 28 for 11 yards (D.Deablo; X.Watts).
  • [5- 5:35] T.Huntley scrambles up the middle to ATL 39 for 2 yards (K.Daniels).
  • [5- 6:19] (Shotgun) T.Huntley pass short right to Z.Flowers to ATL 41 for 6 yards (D.Deablo).
  • [5- 7:05] (Shotgun) T.Huntley pass short left to Z.Flowers to ATL 47 for 1 yard (K.Daniels).
  • [5- 7:46] C.Vinson reported in as eligible. D.Henry right end to ATL 48 for 3 yards (J.Bates).
  • [5- 8:26] (Shotgun) T.Huntley pass short middle to M.Andrews to BLT 49 for 10 yards (J.Bates).
  • [5- 9:11] D.Henry up the middle to BLT 39 for -2 yards (G.Dexter).
  • [5- 9:53] D.Henry left tackle to BLT 41 for 9 yards (X.Watts; Av.Terrell).

Leaders

  • Michael Penix Jr. (ATL): 19/32, 240 YDS, 1 TD
  • Bijan Robinson (ATL): 17 CAR, 86 YDS
  • Drake London (ATL): 7 REC, 118 YDS
  • Tyler Huntley (BAL): 24/32, 201 YDS, 2 TD
  • Derrick Henry (BAL): 24 CAR, 102 YDS
  • Rashod Bateman (BAL): 5 REC, 62 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) - Questionable
  • Za'Darius Smith (ATL) - Out
  • C.J. Henderson (ATL) - Questionable
  • Yasir Abdullah (ATL) - Injured Reserve
  • A.J. Terrell Jr. (ATL) - Injured Reserve
  • Ja'Kobi Lane (BAL) - Injured Reserve
  • Lamar Jackson (BAL) - Out
  • Cam Jurgens (BAL) - Out
  • Trey Hendrickson (BAL) - Out
  • Broderick Washington Jr. (BAL) - Questionable
BAL

Tale of the tape

ATL

Ravens vs Falcons recent form

BAL 3-2 Ravens: last 5 games

  1. W24-18TEN Oct 4 Tennessee Titans, 24-18
  2. W34-31DAL Sep 27 Dallas Cowboys, 34-31
  3. L17-24NO Sep 20 New Orleans Saints, 17-24
  4. W41-23IND Sep 13 Indianapolis Colts, 41-23
  5. L24-26PIT Jan 4 Pittsburgh Steelers, 24-26

ATL 3-2 Falcons: last 5 games

  1. W45-24NO Oct 5 New Orleans Saints, 45-24
  2. W35-14GB Sep 24 Green Bay Packers, 35-14
  3. L3-34CAR Sep 20 Carolina Panthers, 3-34
  4. L13-20PIT Sep 13 Pittsburgh Steelers, 13-20
  5. W19-17NO Jan 4 New Orleans Saints, 19-17
Points scored, last 5BAL 140ATL 115
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterBAL 122ATL 109

Ravens vs Falcons line movement

MONEYLINE Ravens to win at BetOnline

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (ATL)

-3.5

Total

44

Moneyline

BAL
+150
ATL
-175

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (18 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (ATL) at FanDuel: opened +270, now -172
  • Spread (ATL) at FanDuel: opened +6.5, now -3.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 49.5, now 43.5

Agatha's pick for Ravens vs Falcons

The Ravens. Agatha gave Baltimore a 52% chance to win at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: NBC

Agatha's other picks on this game

  1. nflFINAL
    Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons - 8:20 PM ET
    52%
    WONPRED1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-110MyBookie

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  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETMinnesota Vikings vs Green Bay PackersAgatha's call: Green Bay Packers to win, 60%