Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

Agatha makes the Minnesota Vikings 60% to win this game; the best price at BetOnline implies only about 51%. That 9-point gap is why this is a pick. Recent form splits them: 8-2 for the Vikings, 3-7 for the Buccaneers.

Agatha's NFL model makes it about 2.8 catches for Emeka Egbuka against a line of 4.5: the under is the call. Egbuka has been running about 3.2 catches a game. The Vikings allow just 16.5 catches a game against the league's 20.6.

Jordan Addison projects to about 2.3 catches in Agatha's model, against a line of 3.5: she takes the under. He has been catching about 2 balls a game. The counterweight: the Buccaneers allow about 22.7 catches a game, over the league's 20.6.