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Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Ball Arena, Denver

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Toronto Maple LeafsAWAYTorontoMaple Leafs

FINAL

0630

AGATHA'S PICKColorado AvalancheHOMEColoradoAvalanche
64%WIN CHANCEAvalanche to WinLOST#721 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 64%

Agatha's pick: Avalanche to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Maple Leafs 6, Avalanche 3

SEALED ODDS
-213Betfair
CLOSING ODDS
-222Betfair, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
9:51 PM ETreceipt #721

Game Center

Team123T
TOR1326
COL2103

Play-by-play

  • [3- 20:00] Game End
  • [3- 20:00] End of 3rd Period
  • [3- 19:42] Giveaway by Parker Kelly
  • [3- 19:36] Nick Blankenburg hit Zachary L'Heureux
  • [3- 19:29] Nicolas Roy faceoff won against Teddy Blueger
  • [3- 19:29] Off-side
  • [3- 19:21] Nicolas Roy faceoff won against Teddy Blueger
  • [3- 19:21] Auston Matthews Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: none
  • [3- 19:16] Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  • [3- 19:13] Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Auston Matthews
  • [3- 19:13] Timeout - Home
  • [3- 19:13] Net Dislodged by Goaltender

Leaders

  • Nathan MacKinnon (COL): 2
  • Devon Toews (COL): 1
  • Nathan MacKinnon (COL): 2
  • William Nylander (TOR): 2
  • William Nylander (TOR): 3
  • William Nylander (TOR): 5

Game-day injuries

  • Logan O'Connor (COL) - Injured Reserve
  • Georgii Merkulov (COL) - Injured Reserve
  • Chris Tanev (TOR) - Day-To-Day
  • John Tavares (TOR) - Out
  • Dakota Joshua (TOR) - Injured Reserve
  • Max Domi (TOR) - Injured Reserve
  • Cade Webber (TOR) - Injured Reserve
TOR

Tale of the tape

COL

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche recent form

TOR 2-3 Maple Leafs: last 5 games

  1. L3-4VGK Oct 8 Vegas Golden Knights, 3-4
  2. W5-4NSH Oct 6 Nashville Predators, 5-4
  3. L2-3OTT Oct 3 Ottawa Senators, 2-3
  4. W2-1NYI Sep 30 New York Islanders, 2-1
  5. L2-3MTL Sep 29 Montreal Canadiens, 2-3

COL 3-2 Avalanche: last 5 games

  1. W7-3CGY Oct 8 Calgary Flames, 7-3
  2. L2-3WPG Oct 7 Winnipeg Jets, 2-3
  3. W6-1STL Oct 3 St. Louis Blues, 6-1
  4. W8-4LAK Sep 30 Los Angeles Kings, 8-4
  5. L1-2VGK May 26 Vegas Golden Knights, 1-2
Goals scored, last 5TOR 14COL 24
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterTOR 15COL 13

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche head-to-head

Since Jan 13, 2024: Maple Leafs 3, Avalanche 3

  1. Jan 25, 2026Avalanche 4-1
  2. Jan 12, 2026Maple Leafs 4-3
  3. Mar 19, 2025Maple Leafs 2-1
  4. Mar 8, 2025Avalanche 7-4
  5. Feb 24, 2024Maple Leafs 4-3
  6. Jan 13, 2024Avalanche 5-3

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche line movement

MONEYLINE Avalanche to win at Betfair

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (COL)

-1.5

Total

6.5

Moneyline

TOR
+180
COL
-220

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (15 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (COL) at FanDuel: opened -210, now -220
  • Spread (COL) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -1.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 6.5, now 6.5

Agatha's pick for Maple Leafs vs Avalanche

The Avalanche. Agatha gave Colorado a 64% chance to win at Ball Arena, Denver. It was one of Agatha's Best NHL Bets for Oct 10.

TV: NHL Net

Up next

  1. Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ETMinnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple LeafsAgatha's call: Minnesota Wild to win, 59%
  2. Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ETColorado Avalanche vs Ottawa SenatorsAgatha's call: Ottawa Senators to win, 53%
  3. LIVETampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo SabresAgatha's call: Buffalo Sabres to win, 50%
  4. LIVENew York Rangers vs Calgary FlamesAgatha's call: Calgary Flames to win, 57%
  5. Wed, Nov 11, 9:00 PM ETPhiladelphia Flyers vs Edmonton OilersAgatha's call: Edmonton Oilers to win, 65%