Wild vs Lightning Prediction
Thursday, Oct 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYMinnesotaWildAGATHA'S PICK
HOMETampa BayLightning
AWAYMinnesotaWildPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0230vs
Predicted --
HOMETampa BayLightning55%WIN CHANCELIVE READLightning to WinWON#550 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Lightning to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 55%
Final score: Lightning 3, Wild 2
- SEALED ODDS
- -135BetUS
- CLOSING ODDS
- -140BetUS, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.74uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 9:40 PM ETreceipt #550
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| TBL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Play-by-play
- [3- 20:00] Game End
- [3- 20:00] End of 3rd Period
- [3- 19:54] Matt Boldy saved by Dennis Hildeby
- [3- 19:51] Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Anthony Cirelli
- [3- 19:51] Icing
- [3- 19:44] Anthony Cirelli faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek
- [3- 19:44] Goalie Stopped
- [3- 19:41] Maxim Shabanov Snap Shot saved by Dennis Hildeby
- [3- 19:05] Joel Eriksson Ek Backhand saved by Dennis Hildeby
- [3- 18:46] Anthony Cirelli faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek
- [3- 18:46] Timeout - Visitor
- [3- 18:46] Puck in Crowd
Leaders
- John Carlson (TB): 2
- Nikita Kucherov (TB): 2
- John Carlson (TB): 2
- Quinn Hughes (MIN): 1
- Quinn Hughes (MIN): 1
- Quinn Hughes (MIN): 2
Game-day injuries
- Dominic James (TB) - Injured Reserve
- Emil Lilleberg (TB) - Out
- Yanni Gourde (TB) - Injured Reserve
- Olli Maatta (MIN) - Out
- Nick Foligno (MIN) - Out
- Brock Faber (MIN) - Injured Reserve
- Filip Gustavsson (MIN) - Injured Reserve
MINTale of the tape
TBLWild vs Lightning recent form
MIN 2-3 Wild: last 5 games
- L2-3BUF Oct 6 Buffalo Sabres, 2-3
- W4-1BOS Oct 3 Boston Bruins, 4-1
- W3-1NSH Oct 1 Nashville Predators, 3-1
- L3-4COL May 13 Colorado Avalanche, 3-4
- L2-5COL May 11 Colorado Avalanche, 2-5
TBL 3-2 Lightning: last 5 games
- W4-1PHI Oct 5 Philadelphia Flyers, 4-1
- W3-1WSH Oct 3 Washington Capitals, 3-1
- L1-5NYR Oct 1 New York Rangers, 1-5
- L1-2MTL May 3 Montreal Canadiens, 1-2
- W1-0MTL May 1 Montreal Canadiens, 1-0
Goals scored, last 5MIN 14TBL 10
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterMIN 14TBL 9
Wild vs Lightning head-to-head
Since Jan 4, 2024: Wild 3, Lightning 3
- Mar 24, 2026Lightning 6-3
- Mar 3, 2026Wild 5-1
- Nov 1, 2024Wild 5-3
- Oct 24, 2024Wild 4-2
- Jan 18, 2024Lightning 7-3
- Jan 4, 2024Lightning 4-1
Wild vs Lightning line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (TBL)
-1.5
Total
6
Moneyline
- MIN
- +124
- TBL
- -141
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (16 snapshots)
- Moneyline (TBL) at FanDuel: opened -146, now -144
- Spread (TBL) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -1.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 5.5, now 6.5
Agatha's pick for Wild vs Lightning
The Lightning. Agatha gave Tampa Bay a 55% chance to win at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa. It was one of Agatha's Best NHL Bets for Oct 8.
TV: ESPN+