AGATHANo gut feelings

MLB Track Record

since October 1st, 2026

Every MLB pick Agatha made since the record began, Best Bets and Predictions alike: each sealed on the Solana mainnet before its game and graded after it. Open any ticket to check its seal.

Since October 1st, 2026
Last pick graded October 13
Record
36-17-067.9% won
Net units
+14.08u
ROI
26.6%
Picks graded
53

By tier

  • Best Bets30 picks
    W-L
    19-11
    Win %
    63.3%
    Net
    +4.81u
    ROI
    16.0%
  • Predictions23 picks
    W-L
    17-6
    Win %
    73.9%
    Net
    +9.26u
    ROI
    40.3%

Running units, October 1 to October 14: +14.08u

Runs and days

  • Longest winning run6 straight winsfrom ticket #825 to #884
  • Best dayOctober 4, +2.95u5 picks, 4-1
Last 10 picks7-3, +3.47unewest first

By bet type

All time

Every bet type Agatha has graded in MLB, winners and losers.

  • Moneyline13 Best Bets 8-5 +1.50u - 8 Predictions 6-2 +3.44u - average price -122
    W-L
    14-7
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +4.93u
    ROI
    23.5%
  • Strikeout props17 Best Bets 11-6 +3.32u - 15 Predictions 11-4 +5.83u - average price -113
    W-L
    22-10
    Win %
    68.8%
    Net
    +9.14u
    ROI
    28.6%

How the picks split

All time

Each row is its own exact total; a row under 20 picks is marked a small sample.

Favourites and underdogs

  • Favouritessmall sample
    W-L
    12-6
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +3.62u
    ROI
    20.1%
  • Underdogssmall sample
    W-L
    2-1
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +1.31u
    ROI
    43.7%

By confidence

  • Under 55%
    W-L
    17-6
    Win %
    73.9%
    Net
    +9.26u
    ROI
    40.3%
  • 55-59%
    W-L
    12-8
    Win %
    60.0%
    Net
    +2.21u
    ROI
    11.1%
  • 60-64%small sample
    W-L
    5-3
    Win %
    62.5%
    Net
    +1.30u
    ROI
    16.3%
  • 65-69%small sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.88u
    ROI
    88.5%
  • 80% and upsmall sample
    W-L
    1-0
    Win %
    100.0%
    Net
    +0.42u
    ROI
    41.7%

Home and away

  • Homesmall sample
    W-L
    10-6
    Win %
    62.5%
    Net
    +2.39u
    ROI
    14.9%
  • Awaysmall sample
    W-L
    4-1
    Win %
    80.0%
    Net
    +2.55u
    ROI
    50.9%

Overs and unders

  • Overssmall sample
    W-L
    8-2
    Win %
    80.0%
    Net
    +3.53u
    ROI
    35.3%
  • Unders
    W-L
    14-8
    Win %
    63.6%
    Net
    +5.61u
    ROI
    25.5%

Closing line: of 52 picks with a closing price, 6 beat it, 45 matched it and 1 was worse; the sealed price was 0.21% better than the close on average.

By week and by month

By week

  • Week of October 11small sample12 picks
    W-L
    9-3
    Win %
    75.0%
    Net
    +5.35u
    ROI
    44.6%
  • Week of October 430 picks
    W-L
    20-10
    Win %
    66.7%
    Net
    +7.98u
    ROI
    26.6%
  • Week of September 27small sample11 picks
    W-L
    7-4
    Win %
    63.6%
    Net
    +0.75u
    ROI
    6.8%

By month

  • October 202653 picks
    W-L
    36-17
    Win %
    67.9%
    Net
    +14.08u
    ROI
    26.6%

By day

October 202653 picks - 36-17 - +14.08u

How the record is kept

Every pick grades against the line and price sealed 15 minutes before the start (for a tennis match that follows another on its court, 15 minutes before that court's first match; for an esports match that follows another on its stream, 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start). Pushes and voids never count toward wins or losses. Units use that sealed price, and every pick is one unit. Full rules on the methodology page, every settlement rule sport by sport in how we grade; the sealing itself is explained on the how sealing works page.

MLB tickets

Newest first. Each ticket opens its sealed receipt.

  1. Best BetFreddy Peralta Under 3.5 strikeouts#963October 13+110LOST-1.00u
  2. Best BetParker Messick Under 4.5 strikeouts#962October 13-115WON+0.87u
  3. Best BetTampa Bay Rays to win#961October 13-126WON+0.79u
  4. Foster Griffin Under 3.5 strikeouts#890October 12-110WON+0.91u
  5. Best BetDrew Rasmussen Under 5.5 strikeouts#888October 12-103LOST-1.00u
  6. Best BetTampa Bay Rays to win#887October 12-156LOST-1.00u
  7. Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 strikeouts#884October 12+120WON+1.20u
  8. Best BetLogan Henderson Under 5.5 strikeouts#883October 12-122WON+0.82u
  9. Best BetMilwaukee Brewers to win#882October 12+120WON+1.20u
  10. Best BetTarik Skubal Under 7.5 strikeouts#827October 11-147WON+0.68u
  11. Best BetJacob Misiorowski Under 7.5 strikeouts#826October 11-113WON+0.88u
  12. Best BetMilwaukee Brewers to win#825October 11-101WON+0.99u
  13. Sean Burke Under 3.5 strikeouts#750October 10+110LOST-1.00u
  14. Gavin Williams Over 6.5 strikeouts#749October 10-125WON+0.80u
  15. Best BetCleveland Guardians to win#742October 10-135WON+0.74u
  16. Parker Messick Under 5.5 strikeouts#559October 8+114WON+1.14u
  17. Cleveland Guardians to win#558October 8-110WON+0.91u
  18. Walker Buehler Over 2.5 strikeouts#506October 7-129LOST-1.00u
  19. Robert Gasser Over 2.5 strikeouts#505October 7-104WON+0.96u
  20. Milwaukee Brewers to win#502October 7-104WON+0.96u
  21. Nick Martinez Over 2.5 strikeouts#498October 7-156WON+0.64u
  22. Best BetMax Fried Under 4.5 strikeouts#497October 7-115LOST-1.00u
  23. Best BetNew York Yankees to win#496October 7-159LOST-1.00u
  24. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#486October 7-142WON+0.70u
  25. Best BetTyler Mahle Over 3.5 strikeouts#485October 7-150WON+0.67u
  26. Best BetTyler Glasnow Under 6.5 strikeouts#484October 7-122WON+0.82u
  27. Chicago White Sox to win#483October 7-121LOST-1.00u
  28. Nick Pivetta Over 3.5 strikeouts#429October 6-150WON+0.67u
  29. Milwaukee Brewers to win#428October 6+127LOST-1.00u
  30. Los Angeles Dodgers to win#418October 6-103WON+0.97u
  31. Best BetChris Sale Under 7.5 strikeouts#417October 6-147WON+0.68u
  32. Best BetYoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 strikeouts#416October 6-125LOST-1.00u
  33. Freddy Peralta Under 4.5 strikeouts#366October 5+126WON+1.26u
  34. Tampa Bay Rays to win#365October 5+111WON+1.11u
  35. Best BetCam Schlittler Under 6.5 strikeouts#363October 5+100WON+1.00u
  36. Gavin Williams Under 7.5 strikeouts#359October 5-113LOST-1.00u
  37. Best BetCleveland Guardians to win#358October 5-145LOST-1.00u
  38. Best BetBlake Snell Under 6.5 strikeouts#293October 4+116WON+1.16u
  39. Best BetLos Angeles Dodgers to win#292October 4-213LOST-1.00u
  40. Michael King Over 4.5 strikeouts#285October 4-152WON+0.66u
  41. Best BetLogan Henderson Under 5.5 strikeouts#282October 4+132WON+1.32u
  42. Best BetMilwaukee Brewers to win#281October 4-123WON+0.81u
  43. Best BetMilwaukee Brewers to win#206October 3-190WON+0.53u
  44. Gerrit Cole Under 4.5 strikeouts#174October 3+112LOST-1.00u
  45. Tampa Bay Rays to win#173October 3-128WON+0.78u
  46. Best BetDrew Rasmussen Under 6.5 strikeouts#172October 3-139LOST-1.00u
  47. Tarik Skubal Over 6.5 strikeouts#164October 3-139WON+0.72u
  48. Best BetLos Angeles Dodgers to win#157October 3-208WON+0.48u
  49. Parker Messick Under 6.5 strikeouts#137October 3-115WON+0.87u
  50. Best BetCleveland Guardians to win#135October 3-139LOST-1.00u
  51. Best BetRay Kerr Over 0.5 strikeouts#20October 1-240WON+0.42u
  52. Best BetAaron Nola Over 3.5 strikeouts#19October 1-111LOST-1.00u
  53. Best BetAtlanta Braves to win#18October 1-105WON+0.95u